CATE News
Top stories
Prediction markets for CATE
By end of 2028, will PornHub have a category for AI-generated porn?
Apr 12, 1:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
74.05%chance
25245282
OptionVotes
1039
738
Will a category 5 hurricane hit the USA before 2026?
Dec 26, 10:26 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
19.52%chance
303257
OptionVotes
2057
332
What games will be nominated in any category at the Game Awards in 2025?
Feb 27, 4:05 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM
161511
OptionProbability
96
90
89
88
78
75
72
69
61
59
55
55
55
50
50
47
34
Will Polymarket add PWHL as a tradeable category in their sports section by end of 2025?
Dec 4, 5:22 AMJan 2, 12:00 AM
15.21%chance
51361
OptionVotes
2361
424
OptionProbability
36
35
10
9
5
5
Will the wild population of the American Bullfrog (Aquarana catesbeianus) become extinct by 2100?
Apr 5, 10:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4.09%chance
31094
OptionVotes
1576
329
In 2030, will the majority of the top 10 blogs in Substack’s Politics category be written by humans?
Feb 3, 4:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
86.56%chance
12389
OptionVotes
1202
938
OptionProbability
95
76
76
66
63
60
57
48
43
43
43
43
37
32
32
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
20
20
Which other categories will the Game of the Year winner be nominated for at The Game Awards 2025?
Dec 16, 11:07 PMDec 15, 1:29 PM
3179
OptionProbability
92
92
86
74
69
50
50
50
50
50
50
31
31
31
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
12
What will the results of @Astatide42's first poll on the colour of a proton be?
Feb 6, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2102
OptionProbability
77
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Who will be the first to break one of Suigi's Mario 64 main category world records?
Jan 14, 10:57 PMJan 22, 1:29 PM
355
OptionProbability
49
11
10
8
4
4
4
4
4
4
Will a Korean win a Nobel Prize in one of the science categories from 2025-2028 inclusive?
Jan 6, 5:36 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
41.24%chance
446
OptionVotes
119
84