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Prediction markets for CDC
Will the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025?
Jan 15, 3:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
93.03%chance
386991
OptionVotes
365
27
Will the 2025-26 US flu season be classified as "high severity" by the CDC?
Dec 11, 10:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
1.3%chance
131136
OptionVotes
872
11
OptionProbability
96
2
1
1
1
In which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026?
Jun 1, 4:44 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
8962
OptionProbability
39
34
34
30
Will Trump's CDC stop recommending fluoridated water before the end of 2026?
Nov 8, 3:28 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
82.29%chance
16582
OptionVotes
216
46
Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026?
Jul 29, 2:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
50.36%chance
6563
OptionVotes
1007
993
[Metaculus] Will the CDC adopt a Health at Every Size approach towards addressing obesity before 2035?
Nov 7, 6:11 PMJan 2, 8:00 AM
8%chance
6247
OptionVotes
428
161
Will the CDC recommend the flu vaccine for the majority of Americans for the 2050 flu season?
Aug 16, 7:23 AMOct 17, 6:59 AM
47.93%chance
6117
OptionVotes
99
80
Will the CDC recommend the flu vaccine for the majority of Americans for the 2035 flu season?
Aug 16, 7:21 AMOct 17, 6:59 AM
86.86%chance
397
OptionVotes
155
38
Will a pathogenic bacteria be designated a Biosafety Level 4 Organism by the CDC before 2040?
Aug 2, 4:55 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
70.29%chance
459
OptionVotes
139
58
Will the CDC create a Biosafety Level 5 Category before 2040?
Aug 2, 5:03 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
61.46%chance
547
OptionVotes
131
93
OptionProbability
111
109
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