Census Bureau News

US New-Home Sales Ease as Prices Slide and Mortgage Rates Reach 10-Month Low

8 months ago

Noem Says 1.6 Million Undocumented Migrants Left U.S. as ICE Deportations Rise

US Domestic Policy

Economics

Politics

Noem Says 1.6 Million Undocumented Migrants Left U.S. as ICE Deportations Rise

9 months ago

US Goods Trade Deficit Jumps to $104 Billion on July Import Surge

Economics

Business

US Goods Trade Deficit Jumps to $104 Billion on July Import Surge

8 months ago

New Zealand

Economics

Business

New Zealand Services Gauge Rises to 48.9 as U.S. Retail Sales Firm

9 months ago

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?

May 30, 8:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.18%chance

77331

OptionVotes

YES

5565

1084

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

39.13%chance

74647

OptionVotes

YES

12472

8018

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?

Feb 15, 11:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29%chance

163670

OptionVotes

YES

2603

1623

Will real median income for family households in the US be higher in 2028 than in 2024?

Nov 14, 2:58 AMSep 21, 6:59 AM

64.6%chance

51548

OptionVotes

YES

1351

740

What will be the life expectancy in the USA in 2050?

Jun 8, 9:22 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

261476

OptionProbability

70-71.03

78.24-79.27

84.42-85.45

85.45-86.48

86.48-87.51

120.47-121.03

77.21-78.24

79.27-80.3

80.3-81.33

81.33-82.36

82.36-83.39

83.39-84.42

87.51-88.54

88.54-89.57

89.57-90.6

71.03-72.06

72.06-73.09

73.09-74.12

74.12-75.15

75.15-76.18

76.18-77.21

90.6-91.63

91.63-92.66

92.66-93.69

93.69-94.72

94.72-95.75

95.75-96.78

96.78-97.81

97.81-98.84

98.84-99.87

99.87-100.9

100.9-101.93

101.93-102.96

102.96-103.99

103.99-105.02

105.02-106.05

106.05-107.08

107.08-108.11

108.11-109.14

109.14-110.17

110.17-111.2

111.2-112.23

112.23-113.26

113.26-114.29

114.29-115.32

115.32-116.35

116.35-117.38

117.38-118.41

118.41-119.44

119.44-120.47

What will the population of the United States be on April 1, 2030?

Jan 8, 3:41 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

41108

OptionProbability

350 - 355M

330 - 340M

340 - 345M

345 - 350M

355 - 360M

360 - 370M

Below 330M

Above 370M

Will the majority of US households be "coupled" households in 2030?

Sep 11, 9:02 PMMay 26, 6:59 AM

88.3%chance

7489

OptionVotes

YES

288

Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?

Oct 7, 12:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.05%chance

17482

OptionVotes

YES

1105

875

Will there be a new census before 2030?

Aug 7, 4:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

12417

OptionVotes

YES

1225

816

Will Greater Dubai overtake Greater Chicago in population size before EOY 2035?

Jul 28, 7:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.38%chance

6345

OptionVotes

YES

1195

862

Will the population of the USA decline in the year 2050?

May 3, 5:37 PMFeb 3, 4:59 AM

51.56%chance

17146

OptionVotes

YES

1011

987

Will US median household income equal at least half of average home values by 2035?

Nov 18, 1:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

59.2%chance

244

OptionVotes

YES

128

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Aug 29, 2025
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US Goods Trade Deficit Jumps to $104 Billion on July Import Surge
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Aug 28, 2025
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9 months ago
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New Zealand Services Gauge Rises to 48.9 as U.S. Retail Sales Firm
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4
9 months ago

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Prediction markets for Census Bureau

Prediction markets for Census Bureau

Prediction markets for Census Bureau

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?

Will real median income for family households in the US be higher in 2028 than in 2024?

What will be the life expectancy in the USA in 2050?

What will the population of the United States be on April 1, 2030?

Will the majority of US households be "coupled" households in 2030?

Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?

Will there be a new census before 2030?

Will Greater Dubai overtake Greater Chicago in population size before EOY 2035?

Will the population of the USA decline in the year 2050?

Will US median household income equal at least half of average home values by 2035?

Latest stories

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