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Prediction markets for Census Bureau

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?

May 30, 8:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.38%chance

54593

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5479

1093

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

47.66%chance

52539

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10480

9542

Will real median income for family households in the US be higher in 2028 than in 2024?

Nov 14, 2:58 AMSep 21, 6:59 AM

64.6%chance

51548

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1351

740

What will be the life expectancy in the USA in 2050?

Jun 8, 9:22 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

261469

Will the United States population cross 350 million by end of year 2025?

Apr 2, 5:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3%chance

10641

OptionVotes

YES

NO

569

18

Will the majority of US households be "coupled" households in 2030?

Sep 11, 9:02 PMMay 26, 6:59 AM

92.79%chance

5477

OptionVotes

NO

YES

406

58

Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?

Oct 7, 12:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.97%chance

16382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1005

970

Will Greater Dubai overtake Greater Chicago in population size before EOY 2035?

Jul 28, 7:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.92%chance

5330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1180

871

If I move to D.C., will I find someone to seriously date within 6 months?

Oct 10, 5:11 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

41.63%chance

8171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

484

474

Will the population of the USA decline in the year 2050?

May 3, 5:37 PMFeb 3, 4:59 AM

51.56%chance

17146

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1011

987

Will US median household income equal at least half of average home values by 2035?

Nov 18, 1:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

59.2%chance

244

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

96

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