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Top stories

Milei Uses Council of the Americas Stage to Rail Against Kirchnerism

Milei Uses Council of the Americas Stage to Rail Against Kirchnerism

Authors

3

1 year ago

Argentina Sells ARS 3.8 Trillion in Emergency Debt to Drain Pesos

Argentina Sells ARS 3.8 Trillion in Emergency Debt to Drain Pesos

Authors

11

1 year ago

Syria to Issue New Banknotes Printed by Russian Goznak, Removing Two Zeros on December 8 Anniversary of Assad Ouster

Syria to Issue New Banknotes Printed by Russian Goznak, Removing Two Zeros on December 8 Anniversary of Assad Ouster

Authors

15

1 year ago

Brazil Lowers 2025-26 Inflation and GDP Forecasts; IMF Sees Panama GDP Growth at 4.5% Supported by Spending Cuts Plan

Authors

4

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Central Bank

Will Javier Milei abolish the Argentinian central bank?

Nov 20, 12:30 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

3.93%chance

15512616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2953

23

Which central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?

Mar 23, 7:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

358890

OptionProbability

US Federal Reserve

European Central Bank

Bank of Japan

Bank of England

Reserve Bank of India

Bank of Korea

Bank of Canada

Reserve Bank of New Zealand

Swiss National Bank

People’s Bank of China

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

16

10

Will the Central Bank of Argentina exist on January 1 2030?

Nov 21, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

83.71%chance

293286

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1721

748

Will the European Union introduce a digital euro as a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the end of 2026?

Apr 5, 6:48 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

5.09%chance

323284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3488

720

Will the United States have an official central bank digital currency by the end of 2028?

Apr 5, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.31%chance

221650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1994

797

Will a retail CBDC (central bank digital currency) go live in the USA and become available for public use before 2031?

Sep 6, 1:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.33%chance

241227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1517

626

Will the U.S. have a central bank digital currency by 2030?

Mar 23, 11:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.35%chance

12775

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1576

548

Will the United States have an official central bank digital currency by the end of 2033?

Apr 5, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.37%chance

20708

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1071

941

Will the United States have an official central bank digital currency by the end of 2038?

Apr 5, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47%chance

17311

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1089

904

Manifold have a central bank and banking apparatus by 2030?

Jun 16, 10:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.28%chance

7143

OptionVotes

YES

NO

187

54

What share of Russia’s frozen central bank reserves will have been used to support Ukraine?

Dec 10, 12:19 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

3118

OptionProbability

0 - 9%

10 - 19%

20 - 29%

30 - 39%

40 - 49%

50 - 59%

60 - 69%

70 - 79%

80 - 89%

90 - 100%

12

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

Will any central bank buy a cryptocurrency (CBDC doesn't count) for their reserves by the end of 2030?

Mar 7, 12:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.07%chance

381

OptionVotes

NO

YES

161

62

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