Central Military Commission News

Xi Jinping Departs Xizang After Marking Region’s 60th Anniversary

4 months ago

Xi Purges Fifth of PLA Generals Before Beijing Weapons Parade

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Politics

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Xi Purges Fifth of PLA Generals Before Beijing Weapons Parade

3 months ago

Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2025?

Dec 31, 1:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1.09%chance

5138250

OptionVotes

YES

1847

Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026?

Sep 18, 9:05 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8%chance

20334536

OptionVotes

YES

1985

854

Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?

Feb 15, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

335958

OptionProbability

Other

Ding Xuexiang (Vice Premier, 6th rank PSC member)

Li Qiang (Premier, 2nd rank PSC member)

Chen Jining (Party Secretary of Shanghai)

Zhang Youxia (Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission)

Wang Yang (former Chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference)

[Nobody] (Xi Jinping does not have a successor as General Secretary)

Cai Qi (5th rank PSC member, first-ranked of Secretariat)

Li Xi (7th rank PSC member, Secretary of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection)

Wang Yi (Foreign Minister)

Wang Huning (tourist, political theorist, and 4th rank PSC member)

Chen Min'er (Party Secretary of Tianjin)

Yuan Jiajun (Party Secretary of Chongqing)

Yin Li (Party Secretary of Beijing)

Li Shulei (Head of Party Publicity)

Zhao Leji (3rd rank PSC member, chairman of NPC Standing Committee)

Chen Wenqing (Secretary of the Central Political and Legal Affairs Commission)

Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2026?

Nov 17, 3:53 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

4.85%chance

171688

OptionVotes

YES

688

Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before 2030?

Dec 31, 1:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.16%chance

271189

OptionVotes

YES

1182

760

Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2028?

Dec 31, 1:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40%chance

26939

OptionVotes

YES

207

142

Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2027?

Dec 31, 1:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

29.45%chance

23662

OptionVotes

YES

152

140

Will Xi Jinping be either General Secretary or Chairman when he dies?

Nov 30, 3:20 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

54.79%chance

9232

OptionVotes

YES

121

Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2030?

Nov 17, 4:01 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

31.94%chance

295

OptionVotes

YES

136

Will another member of the Central Military Commission of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?

Nov 2, 12:48 PMApr 1, 3:59 PM

72.78%chance

491

OptionVotes

YES

131

Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2027?

Nov 17, 3:58 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

33.84%chance

763

OptionVotes

YES

131

Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2028?

Nov 17, 3:59 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

37.49%chance

331

OptionVotes

YES

Central Military Commission News

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Prediction markets for Central Military Commission

Prediction markets for Central Military Commission

Prediction markets for Central Military Commission

Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2025?

Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026?

Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?

Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2026?

Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before 2030?

Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2028?

Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2027?

Will Xi Jinping be either General Secretary or Chairman when he dies?

Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2030?

Will another member of the Central Military Commission of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?

Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2027?

Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2028?

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