Check Point News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Check Point
Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
38.82%chance
556181632
OptionVotes
2605
2168
Will Lantern Bioworks's cavity-curing bioengineered S. mutans (Lumina) turn out to have horrible downsides by 2029?
Oct 8, 9:05 AMDec 16, 7:59 AM
7%chance
3411568
OptionVotes
11171
7571
OptionVotes
1807
553
Will 1% of any city (>1m pop) in the EU, UK, or US die in any year from disaster by mid 2035
Jul 6, 12:09 AMJun 15, 11:59 PM
25.81%chance
64148
OptionVotes
1695
590
Will GPT-5 be able to make original jokes Manifold users consider funny?
Apr 21, 6:20 PMSep 1, 9:59 PM
67.45%chance
492334
OptionVotes
1042
867
If someone launches a competitor to Manifold, will I judge it to have been at least as successful two years later?
Oct 21, 5:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
21.66%chance
251949
OptionVotes
1129
936
Will 10% of any city (>1m pop) in the EU, UK, or US die in any year from disaster by mid 2035
Jul 5, 6:08 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM
15.39%chance
131638
OptionVotes
2345
426
In 2025, will I teach people that Projective Geometric Algebra (PGA)'s "dual" is similar to the Fourier transform?
Sep 20, 7:52 AMDec 1, 11:59 PM
45.54%chance
191347
OptionVotes
1567
420
Will Lorxus, the author of this market, be a winner of Tontine?
Mar 25, 4:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
65.64%chance
251239
OptionVotes
1135
580
Will I send my autoimmune disease (Hashimoto’s) into remission through diet and lifestyle changes alone?
May 16, 12:24 AMSep 23, 12:02 AM
37.78%chance
11875
OptionVotes
1283
779
OptionVotes
1242
805
OptionVotes
1459
987