OptionProbability
Democrats 66 (D66)
Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA)
People's Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD)
GroenLinks–PvdA
JA21
Christian Union (CU)
Farmer–Citizen Movement (BBB)
Socialist Party (SP)
Reformed Political Party (SGP)
Volt Netherlands
Party for the Animals (PvdD)
Forum for Democracy (FvD)
Party for Freedom (PVV)
New Social Contract (NSC)
Denk
98
97
87
38
32
8
5
4
3
2
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1826
806
CDU/CSU + SPD
CDU/CSU + AfD
CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens
SPD + Greens + Left
CDU/CSU + Greens
CDU/CSU + Greens + FDP
CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP
Other
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
No coalition before 2030
SPD + Greens + FDP
SPD + Greens
CDU/CSU + FDP
CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens + FDP
AfD alone
24
21
16
6
276
237
No or later than 31 December 2025 midnight.
December 2025
August 2025
September 2025
October 2025
November 2025
July 2025
73
10
