OptionVotes
YES
NO
1062
917
OptionProbability
1+ days
30+ days
365+ days
180+ days
730+ days
1825+ days
0 days
100
62
46
22
0
105
103
Apr '28: Bipedal robots meaningfully assist human tradespeople in their work
Dec '28: AI systems able to autonomously design their successors (RSI)
Nov '26: AI good enough at biology to both advance science and potentially proliferate bioweapon risks
Nov '27: Autonomous companies exist and generate $10m+ revenues
Apr '27: A team of humans collaborating with AI will make a Nobel-winning discovery
55
47
45
211
Anglos🇺🇸
None
China🇨🇳
Other
Subcontinentals🇮🇳
Orthodoxy🇷🇺
27
26
19
14
9
5
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