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Prediction markets for Civil Protection
Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen?
Jan 8, 6:11 PMDec 31, 4:44 PM
56.78%chance
7912121
OptionVotes
218
116
Schedule F: if Trump is elected, will he appoint more than 10,000 people in 2025?
Aug 9, 6:45 AMApr 1, 9:59 PM
10.93%chance
264226
OptionVotes
2854
350
Will the regime of Iran fall by the end of March 2026?
Mar 3, 2:11 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM
2.05%chance
383057
OptionVotes
691
14
Which existing amendment to the Constitution of the United States will be repealed by EOY 2044 ?
May 5, 7:14 AMJan 15, 10:59 PM
142455
OptionProbability
26
21
19
19
18
18
18
17
17
15
14
13
12
6
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
2
1
1
OptionVotes
1207
867
Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?
May 27, 2:32 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
25.79%chance
161362
OptionVotes
1696
589
Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026?
May 1, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.01%chance
91127
OptionVotes
1188
571
Will there be a new "embarrassing truth" that emerges that governments refuse to acknowledge?
May 1, 12:54 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
91.78%chance
3150
OptionVotes
200
56
Will anyone be prosecuted for the murder of Alex Pretti by the end of 2027?
Feb 23, 7:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25.71%chance
370
OptionVotes
170
59


