Clarify News

YES

YES

YES

wikipedia will not be clarified by market close

Many Worlds

Orchestrated Objective Reduction

Other

Indivisible stochastic processes

Copenhagen

Superdeterminism

Spacetime foam

Something derived from Bohmian Mechanics

Local hidden variables + Superdeterminism

"Shut up and calculate"

51

Other

50

49

52

48

47

45

46

YES

YES

YES

Will SpaceX's Starship–SuperHeavy lift off from the launch pad two or more times between 1 January 2024 and 1 July 2024 inclusive?

Will Manifold users reach the $10,000 monthly charity donation cap in any of the first six months of 2024? (Excepting the excluded period at the start of January)?

Will Starship IFT-3 launch within a week of receiving the launch license from the FAA?

To whom does Manifold need to extend its userbase in order to be self-sustaining (link in comments)

[Don't bet on this yet, criteria TBA] How many Manifold users will have a net worth of 1 million mana or more on 1 July 2024? (Rules below)

Will the Tesla Cybertruck be available in Australia by 2034?

[At least ten answers will be added in 2024 that I don't initially N/A]

Venezuela

Netherlands

Estonia

France

No country before 2030

Norway

Switzerland

Germany

UK

Sweden

USA

YES

LeBron’s NBA (playing) career