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Prediction markets for Cloud Intelligence
Is there a Dyson-like megastructure around Tabby’s Star?
Jun 29, 11:06 AMJun 30, 11:02 AM
8.11%chance
214679
OptionVotes
3366
297
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^25 FLOP in China before 2027?
Jun 1, 6:47 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
81.62%chance
6459
OptionVotes
196
74
OptionVotes
221
45
Will Michael Saylor show up on the Joe Rogan Experience by 2030?
May 5, 10:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
91.53%chance
5277
OptionVotes
329
30
Will data centers consume more than 10% of US electricity usage by EOY 2028?
May 28, 4:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
65%chance
10156
OptionVotes
136
73
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^27 FLOP in China before 2028?
Jun 1, 6:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
43.99%chance
5142
OptionVotes
121
99
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2028?
Jun 1, 6:50 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
84.57%chance
6138
OptionVotes
203
46
Will the US attack European AI/compute providers before 2035?
Jun 21, 2:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
23%chance
3112
OptionVotes
183
55
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2029?
Jun 1, 6:50 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
83.11%chance
370
OptionVotes
140
40
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^30 FLOP in China before 2035?
Jun 1, 6:53 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
33.78%chance
120
OptionVotes
90
56
Tougher regulations on Nvidia as a result of Jensen Huang honeypot scandal
Nov 8, 3:06 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
54.75%chance
212
OptionVotes
110
91
OptionVotes
110
99
Latest stories
Latest stories
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