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CMS News

    Prediction markets for CMS

    OptionProbability

    Contains egregious, easily verified falsehoods

    Contains AI-generated articles

    Accessible without login

    Standalone website (not just a Twitter/X feature)

    Will actually be called "Grokipedia"

    Has 10,000+ articles

    Contains a "Wikipedia" article

    No entry for Mechahitler

    Has an entry for Manifold Markets

    it is cringe

    Content is under a free license

    It's proven (within a week after release) that Musk has personally influenced at least one article (eg. manual correction, edits to the prompt for just that article, “de-biasing”, etc)

    left-wingers perceive that it is biased against them

    States that the race/ethnicity differences in IQ are mostly or entirely genetic

    Larry Sanger inserts himself into it somehow

    Uses Cloudflare to defend from scrapers

    Anyone can edit

    Administered by a partially-human editorial board

    Users will only be able to edit by prompting AI for changes

    Articles written in 10+ languages

    Has a way to see what specifically about an article was changed in a similar way to Wikipedia and other adjacent wikis

    right-wingers perceive that it is biased against them

    Grok will routinely check it when answering questions

    Manifold likes it, according to a poll

    Contains advertisements

    Released in 2026

    has an official app on the Apple App Store

    Not released before 2030

    Uses a preexisting wiki engine or CMS

    States that the death toll of the (Jewish) Holocaust was <3 million

    Will be called Encyclopedia Galactica

    Released in 2025

    99

    98

    98

    98

    97

    96

    95

    95

    90

    90

    88

    88

    87

    83

    82

    82

    75

    54

    46

    41

    35

    24

    24

    21

    15

    15

    9

    6

    4

    3

    2

    0

    Will Wordpress partner with Project Glasswing by EOY2027?

    Apr 7, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    43%chance
    6335

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    115

    87

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