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Top stories

Nvidia, Led by Jensen Huang and Wedbush’s Daniel Ives, Projected to Reach $5 Trillion Amid AI Revolution and Robust Earnings

Company Earnings

Nvidia, Led by Jensen Huang and Wedbush’s Daniel Ives, Projected to Reach $5 Trillion Amid AI Revolution and Robust Earnings

Authors

4

8 months ago

Google Cuts 35% of Small-Team Managers in Efficiency Drive

Google Cuts 35% of Small-Team Managers in Efficiency Drive

Authors

13

8 months ago

BMW Chief Sees Industry Shake-Up as Neue Klasse EVs Debut

BMW Chief Sees Industry Shake-Up as Neue Klasse EVs Debut

Authors

11

8 months ago

Bain Capital Considers US$1.4 Billion Take-Private Offers for Canada Goose

Authors

14

8 months ago

Fed’s Williams Says Slowing Growth May Allow Rate Cuts While Staying Restrictive

Authors

10

8 months ago

New York Fed’s Williams Underscores Importance of Central Bank Independence

Authors

4

8 months ago

US Gov Appointments

US Domestic Policy

Trump Convenes Cabinet Meeting Amid DC Crime Crackdown, Russia-Ukraine Peace Push

Authors

13

8 months ago

Commerce Secretary Lutnick Urges Federal Reserve to Cut Rates

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4

8 months ago

Prediction markets for CNBC

Will Anthropic surpass OpenAI valuation in 2026?

Jan 4, 5:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

83.24%chance

274144868

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6677

952

Will Anthropic models still be hosted on at least one of AWS, GCP, or Azure at expiry

Feb 28, 12:08 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

97.16%chance

2711352

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6226

197

Anthropic annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026?

Jul 2, 1:03 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

3410593

OptionProbability

>=$10B

>=$20B

>=$30B

>=$40B

>=$50B

>=$60B

>=$80B

>=$100B

>=$120B

>=$150B

>=$200B

100

100

100

99

98

93

75

67

58

44

28

OpenAI annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026?

Jul 2, 1:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

214696

OptionProbability

>=$25B

>=$40B

>=$50B

>=$60B

>=$75B

>=$100B

>=$150B

>=$200B

100

91

80

71

50

26

12

9

Will SpaceX complete an initial public offering (IPO) by the end of 2026 and at what valuation?

Feb 19, 9:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12795

OptionProbability

Yes — valuation above $1.5T

Yes — valuation $500B–$1T

No IPO by Dec 31, 2026

Yes — valuation under $500B

Yes — valuation $1T–$1.5T

96

2

1

1

1

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

May 18, 3:55 AMMay 27, 3:51 AM

39.77%chance

9612

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1231

813

10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026?

Jan 3, 2:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.55%chance

7563

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1239

807

10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 12/31/2026?

Jan 3, 2:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.38%chance

4408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1215

823

US government loses more than $50 million in cryptocurrency by end of 2028

Mar 16, 10:33 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

45.42%chance

5298

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

912

10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.0%+ on 12/31/2026?

Jan 3, 2:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.16%chance

3172

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1044

958

Mustafa Suleyman out of Microsoft by EOY 2028?

Nov 12, 7:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.19%chance

381

OptionVotes

NO

YES

161

62

Who Walmart buys eBay on 2029 only

Feb 10, 2:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.84%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

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