Coalition News

Trump Tariff Fears Eclipse China Security Worries in New Australian Poll

6 months ago

Albanese Approval Turns Positive as Newspoll Extends Labor Lead

Australia

Economics

Politics

Albanese Approval Turns Positive as Newspoll Extends Labor Lead

6 months ago

Albanese Government Advances 5% Deposit Scheme to October 1 Amid Opposition Criticism and House Price Concerns

Australia

Real Estate

Business

Albanese Government Advances 5% Deposit Scheme to October 1 Amid Opposition Criticism and House Price Concerns

5 months ago

Will the Current Spanish Coalition of PSOE+SUMAR Govern Spain Until 2027, Completing a Full 4-Year Term?

Dec 26, 8:59 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

52.71%chance

316725

OptionVotes

YES

1325

493

Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?

Feb 12, 9:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13.39%chance

265299

OptionVotes

YES

2543

393

China and USA form an AI coalition by EOY 2028

Jan 30, 6:10 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

12.43%chance

95271

OptionVotes

YES

2654

377

Which coalition will govern Germany after the next federal election?

Feb 24, 10:56 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

252216

OptionProbability

CDU/CSU + SPD

CDU/CSU + AfD

CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens

SPD + Greens + Left

CDU/CSU + Greens

CDU/CSU + Greens + FDP

CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP

Other

CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP

No coalition before 2030

SPD + Greens + FDP

SPD + Greens

CDU/CSU + FDP

CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens + FDP

AfD alone

Sussan Ley out before Liberal-National coalition reunites?

Jan 22, 12:44 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

60.54%chance

5847

OptionVotes

YES

1239

807

Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)

Apr 24, 9:34 PMMar 25, 12:59 AM

67.92%chance

9455

OptionVotes

YES

1455

687

Smallest viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)

Sep 22, 6:35 PMMar 22, 7:31 PM

4399

OptionProbability

3 parties

No majority possible with only broadly centrist parties

2 parties (or less)

4 parties (or more)

Will the new the new coalition of CDU/CSU/SPD govern until the end of the term in spring 2029?

May 6, 3:08 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM

56.66%chance

6255

OptionVotes

YES

114

Will I acquire the Coalition for Prediction Markets ad by EOM?

Feb 1, 7:01 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

16.93%chance

3157

OptionVotes

YES

222

Will the current Austrian coalition last until the end of the legislature period?

Nov 26, 9:30 AMJul 31, 10:59 PM

50.62%chance

3110

OptionVotes

YES

1012

988

Will "A high integrity/epistemics political coalition?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Dec 15, 6:35 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.32%chance

271

OptionVotes

YES

1051

992

Who will win the Coalition Avenir Quebec (CAQ) leadership election?

Jan 24, 8:47 PMApr 12, 3:59 AM

265

OptionProbability

Christine Fréchette

Other

Bernard Drainville

Jean-François Simard

Latest stories

Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
Australia
Real Estate
Business
Albanese Government Advances 5% Deposit Scheme to October 1 Amid Opposition Criticism and House Price Concerns
Authors
5
5 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Australia
Tariffs
Economics
Trump Tariff Fears Eclipse China Security Worries in New Australian Poll
Authors
12
6 months ago
Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
Australia
Economics
Politics
Albanese Approval Turns Positive as Newspoll Extends Labor Lead
Authors
16
6 months ago

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Coalition News

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Will the Current Spanish Coalition of PSOE+SUMAR Govern Spain Until 2027, Completing a Full 4-Year Term?

Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?

China and USA form an AI coalition by EOY 2028

Which coalition will govern Germany after the next federal election?

Sussan Ley out before Liberal-National coalition reunites?

Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)

Smallest viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)

Will the new the new coalition of CDU/CSU/SPD govern until the end of the term in spring 2029?

Will I acquire the Coalition for Prediction Markets ad by EOM?

Will the current Austrian coalition last until the end of the legislature period?

Will "A high integrity/epistemics political coalition?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Who will win the Coalition Avenir Quebec (CAQ) leadership election?

Latest stories

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