Coalition News

Trump Tariff Fears Eclipse China Security Worries in New Australian Poll

7 months ago

Albanese Approval Turns Positive as Newspoll Extends Labor Lead

Australia

Economics

Politics

Albanese Approval Turns Positive as Newspoll Extends Labor Lead

7 months ago

Albanese Government Advances 5% Deposit Scheme to October 1 Amid Opposition Criticism and House Price Concerns

Australia

Real Estate

Business

Albanese Government Advances 5% Deposit Scheme to October 1 Amid Opposition Criticism and House Price Concerns

7 months ago

Will the Current Spanish Coalition of PSOE+SUMAR Govern Spain Until 2027, Completing a Full 4-Year Term?

Dec 26, 8:59 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

52.71%chance

316725

OptionVotes

YES

1325

493

Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?

Feb 12, 9:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

9.66%chance

275814

OptionVotes

YES

3058

327

China and USA form an AI coalition by EOY 2028

Jan 30, 6:10 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

12.14%chance

115323

OptionVotes

YES

2690

372

Which Estonian political parties will be in the coalition after the 2027 parliamentary election?

Aug 16, 2:45 PMMar 7, 9:59 PM

42326

OptionProbability

Estonian Reform Party (RE)

Conservative People's Party of Estonia (EKRE)

Fatherland (I)

Estonian Nationalists and Conservatives (ERK)

The Right (PP)

Estonia 200 (E200)

Social Democratic Party (SDE)

Estonian Centre Party (KE)

Estonian Greens (EER)

German "Brandmauer" (AfD collaboration ban) falls before EOY 2026? (official coalition)

Oct 27, 10:27 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

6.2%chance

171806

OptionVotes

YES

389

Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)

Apr 24, 9:34 PMMar 25, 12:59 AM

66.16%chance

9512

OptionVotes

YES

1398

715

Will New Zealand's National-led Coalition Government Be Limited to a Single Term?

Feb 25, 3:54 AMNov 30, 10:59 AM

34.77%chance

11483

OptionVotes

YES

287

129

Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?

Feb 9, 3:14 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

15.39%chance

7228

OptionVotes

YES

234

VVD + CDA + D66 coalition forms in Netherlands?

Jan 6, 12:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

93.19%chance

6181

OptionVotes

YES

267

Who will win the Coalition Avenir Quebec (CAQ) leadership election?

Jan 24, 8:47 PMApr 12, 3:59 AM

2165

OptionProbability

Christine Fréchette

Other

Bernard Drainville

Jean-François Simard

Will the current Austrian coalition last until the end of the legislature period?

Nov 26, 9:30 AMJul 31, 10:59 PM

50.62%chance

3110

OptionVotes

YES

1012

988

Will "A high integrity/epistemics political coalition?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Dec 15, 6:35 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.32%chance

271

OptionVotes

YES

1051

992

Latest stories

Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
Australia
Real Estate
Business
Albanese Government Advances 5% Deposit Scheme to October 1 Amid Opposition Criticism and House Price Concerns
Authors
5
7 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Australia
Tariffs
Economics
Trump Tariff Fears Eclipse China Security Worries in New Australian Poll
Authors
12
7 months ago
Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
Australia
Economics
Politics
Albanese Approval Turns Positive as Newspoll Extends Labor Lead
Authors
16
7 months ago

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Prediction markets for Coalition

Will the Current Spanish Coalition of PSOE+SUMAR Govern Spain Until 2027, Completing a Full 4-Year Term?

Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?

China and USA form an AI coalition by EOY 2028

Which Estonian political parties will be in the coalition after the 2027 parliamentary election?

German "Brandmauer" (AfD collaboration ban) falls before EOY 2026? (official coalition)

Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)

Will New Zealand's National-led Coalition Government Be Limited to a Single Term?

Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?

VVD + CDA + D66 coalition forms in Netherlands?

Who will win the Coalition Avenir Quebec (CAQ) leadership election?

Will the current Austrian coalition last until the end of the legislature period?

Will "A high integrity/epistemics political coalition?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Latest stories

Join our channels

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Telegram