OptionProbability
Covid
Russia-Ukraine War
Brexit
Israel-Hamas War
US Withdrawal from Afghanistan
January 6th
LLMs
George Floyd Protests
The Rise of China
Bitcoin
Private Spaceflight
Violent repression of women in Iran
Russia's takeover of the US political establishment
New York v Trump 2024
Tigray War
The Epstein Files
BRICS Expansion
Meme stocks
Enshittification
98
97
88
82
78
75
65
63
62
57
54
51
40
21
19
Chi (Clara) Xu (Wharton)
Jessica Li (Chicago)
Joanna Harris Murphy (Chicago)
Patrick Adams (MIT)
Oliver Xie (Stanford)
Meichen Qian (Chicago)
Guanyu Zhou (Wharton)
Tasaneeya Viratyosin (Wharton)
Ching-Tse Chen (Chicago)
Bianca He (Chicago)
Edoardo Marchesi (Chicago)
Filippo Cavaleri (Chicago)
Christian Kontz (Stanford)
Pauline Liang (Stanford)
20
9
2
OptionVotes
YES
NO
141
343
29
130
77
January 31
December 31
November 30
October 31
33
30
8
0
117
85
110
91