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Top stories

Markets Put 87% Odds on Fed September Rate Cut

Markets Put 87% Odds on Fed September Rate Cut

Authors

6

8 months ago

US Economy Expands 3.3% in Second Quarter on Trade, Investment

US Economy Expands 3.3% in Second Quarter on Trade, Investment

Authors

30

8 months ago

US Revokes Intel and Samsung China Waivers, Extends Some Tariff Exemptions

US Revokes Intel and Samsung China Waivers, Extends Some Tariff Exemptions

Authors

28

8 months ago

Intel Gets $5.7 Billion as U.S. Takes 10% Stake

Authors

14

8 months ago

US Goods Trade Deficit Jumps to $104 Billion on July Import Surge

Authors

5

8 months ago

US Orders Outpace Forecast Even as Consumer Confidence Slips

Authors

45

8 months ago

US Domestic Policy

US Commerce Voids $7.4 Billion Biden-Era Semiconductor Grant Deal With Natcast Under CHIPS Act, Impacting ASU Lab and Chip Supply Chain

Authors

14

8 months ago

US Domestic Policy

IRS Issues Sections 45Y and 48E Guidance for Wind and Solar Tax Credits Amid Commerce’s Section 232 Probe on Offshore Wind Costs

Authors

6

8 months ago

Prediction markets for Commerce Department

Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?

Dec 26, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.39%chance

196976

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13522

7406

Will Trump tariff European countries over Greenland?

Jan 17, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.79%chance

281832

OptionVotes

YES

NO

322

31

Will there be a new census before 2030?

Aug 7, 4:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

12417

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1225

816

US Patent System gets a price hike by 2026?

Aug 7, 9:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.31%chance

6268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1168

856

Will the US enact export controls on energy products in 2026?

Mar 13, 1:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26%chance

7182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

86

Will the Defense Production Act be invoked in 2026?

Feb 25, 11:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.57%chance

7165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

83

Trump orders mandatory AI predeployment evals by end of August

May 6, 3:24 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

24.31%chance

896

OptionVotes

YES

NO

176

57

Will the US impose antidumping duties on Russian palladium imports by the end of 2026?

Feb 16, 6:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.12%chance

280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

86

Will Commerce issue a final affirmative AD determination (A-821-840) by Jun 30, 2026?

Feb 16, 5:48 PMJul 1, 5:48 PM

76.72%chance

273

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1073

977

Will UCAR/NCAR win its lawsuit against the Trump administration/US government?

Mar 17, 5:05 AMDec 31, 6:04 AM

69.23%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

67

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
China
Tariffs
Policy
US Revokes Intel and Samsung China Waivers, Extends Some Tariff Exemptions
Authors
28
8 months ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Economics
Business
Markets Put 87% Odds on Fed September Rate Cut
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6
8 months ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
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US Goods Trade Deficit Jumps to $104 Billion on July Import Surge
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5
8 months ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Economics
Business
US Economy Expands 3.3% in Second Quarter on Trade, Investment
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30
8 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
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Economics
Stocks
Business
Intel Gets $5.7 Billion as U.S. Takes 10% Stake
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14
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Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
China
Australia
Economics
US Orders Outpace Forecast Even as Consumer Confidence Slips
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45
8 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
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US Domestic Policy
Policy
Arizona
US Commerce Voids $7.4 Billion Biden-Era Semiconductor Grant Deal With Natcast Under CHIPS Act, Impacting ASU Lab and Chip Supply Chain
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8 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
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IRS Issues Sections 45Y and 48E Guidance for Wind and Solar Tax Credits Amid Commerce’s Section 232 Probe on Offshore Wind Costs
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Aug 21, 2025
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US Legislation
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California Senator’s Census Warning Rekindles Fight Over Non-Citizen Counts
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