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Prediction markets for Commission
Will Kamoa-Kakula Project 95 be fully commissioned by 2026-12-31?
Apr 7, 1:27 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
55.47%chance
1856131
OptionVotes
10542
9542
Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?
May 19, 3:12 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM
10.19%chance
52021
OptionVotes
2969
337
Will the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission approve Oklo's license application for a nuclear reactor before January 2028?
Apr 23, 6:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
19.49%chance
131017
OptionVotes
386
108
OptionVotes
1571
636
When will the EU Commission's investigation into Google's AdTech business end?
Jul 28, 11:52 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
3369
OptionProbability
33
27
24
16
1
Will another member of the Central Military Commission of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?
Nov 2, 12:48 PMApr 1, 3:59 PM
91%chance
8244
OptionVotes
282
38
Citizens Redistricting Commission resumes congressional district maps in 2031?
Nov 19, 6:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.25%chance
1100
OptionVotes
1100
909
Will China commission a fourth conventional aircraft carrier before 2030?
Jan 1, 6:30 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
64.57%chance
461
OptionVotes
135
74
Will the Royal Navy plan to commission more than seven SSN AUKUS submarines?
May 10, 10:57 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
62.13%chance
240
OptionVotes
90
54
Will the USA's CVN-81 "Doris Miller" Aircraft Carrier be launched and commissioned by the end of 2032 as planned?
Nov 27, 7:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
46.93%chance
533
OptionVotes
113
105
When will the first Type 26 frigate be commissioned by the Royal Navy?
Feb 10, 11:48 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM
221
OptionProbability
43
25
16
16
Will the US Navy commission more than five Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?
Sep 30, 1:20 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
47.39%chance
120
OptionVotes
70
70
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