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Top stories

Senate Brawl Prompts Noroña to Seek Desafuero of PRI Leader Moreno

Senate Brawl Prompts Noroña to Seek Desafuero of PRI Leader Moreno

Authors

41

5 months ago

CFTC Deploys Nasdaq Surveillance Platform to Police Expanding Crypto Markets

Prediction Markets

CFTC Deploys Nasdaq Surveillance Platform to Police Expanding Crypto Markets

Authors

9

5 months ago

EU Moves to Scrap Tariffs on US Industrial Goods, Aiming to Unlock Lower Auto Duties

EU Moves to Scrap Tariffs on US Industrial Goods, Aiming to Unlock Lower Auto Duties

Authors

55

5 months ago

EU Plans New Sanctions on Russia, to Use €200 Billion Frozen Assets and €150 Billion Rearmament Fund; Russia Warns of Countermeasures

Authors

6

5 months ago

EU Carmakers Say 2035 Zero-Emission Mandate Unworkable, Urge Policy Reset

Authors

10

5 months ago

Eurozone Confidence Falls While UK Sentiment Rebounds in August

Authors

7

6 months ago

Rahul Gandhi, RJD Leaders Launch 16-Day 'Voter Adhikar Yatra' in Bihar Over SIR Vote Theft Allegations; Election Commission Responds

Authors

3

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Commission

Will the European Commission publish a new quantum strategy document within the next 60 days?

Jan 26, 8:22 PMMar 27, 8:21 PM

70.56%chance

192177

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1548

646

Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 19, 3:12 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

10.19%chance

52021

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2969

337

Next Commission president from Eastern Europe?

May 20, 2:16 AMDec 30, 3:04 AM

28.82%chance

5946

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1572

636

When will the EU Commission's investigation into Google's AdTech business end?

Jul 28, 11:52 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

3369

OptionProbability

2027/2028

2025/2026

2029/2030

After 2030

2023/2024

33

27

24

16

1

Citizens Redistricting Commission resumes congressional district maps in 2031?

Nov 19, 6:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

Will another member of the Central Military Commission of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?

Nov 2, 12:48 PMApr 1, 3:59 PM

72.78%chance

491

OptionVotes

NO

YES

131

66

Will the average commission rate for realtors in the USA fall below 4.6% by EOY 2028?

Nov 11, 1:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.82%chance

251

OptionVotes

NO

YES

99

81

Will the Royal Navy plan to commission more than seven SSN AUKUS submarines?

May 10, 10:57 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

62.13%chance

240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

54

Will any Type 45 destroyer still be in commission in the Royal Navy in 2040?

Jan 27, 1:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

54.45%chance

230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

60

Will Taiwan commission two Hai Kun-class submarines by the end of 2027?

Sep 30, 2:14 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

61.41%chance

217

OptionVotes

NO

YES

63

40

Will a Type 32 frigate be commissioned by the Royal Navy before 2040?

May 10, 9:42 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

60.59%chance

212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

62

40

Will Taiwan commission eight Hai Kun-class submarines by the end of 2045?

Sep 30, 2:19 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

48.04%chance

02

OptionVotes

YES

NO

52

48

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Europe
War
Economics
EU Plans New Sanctions on Russia, to Use €200 Billion Frozen Assets and €150 Billion Rearmament Fund; Russia Warns of Countermeasures
Authors
6
5 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Europe
Tariffs
Economics
EU Moves to Scrap Tariffs on US Industrial Goods, Aiming to Unlock Lower Auto Duties
Authors
55
5 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Mexico
Crime
Politics
Senate Brawl Prompts Noroña to Seek Desafuero of PRI Leader Moreno
Authors
41
5 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Prediction Markets
Fintech
Regulation
CFTC Deploys Nasdaq Surveillance Platform to Police Expanding Crypto Markets
Authors
9
5 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Europe
Automobile
Climate
EU Carmakers Say 2035 Zero-Emission Mandate Unworkable, Urge Policy Reset
Authors
10
5 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Europe
Britain
Economics
Eurozone Confidence Falls While UK Sentiment Rebounds in August
Authors
7
6 months ago
Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
India
World
Rahul Gandhi, RJD Leaders Launch 16-Day 'Voter Adhikar Yatra' in Bihar Over SIR Vote Theft Allegations; Election Commission Responds
Authors
3
6 months ago

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