Commission News

Senate Brawl Prompts Noroña to Seek Desafuero of PRI Leader Moreno

1 year ago

CFTC Deploys Nasdaq Surveillance Platform to Police Expanding Crypto Markets

Prediction Markets

Fintech

Regulation

CFTC Deploys Nasdaq Surveillance Platform to Police Expanding Crypto Markets

1 year ago

Europe

Tariffs

Economics

EU Moves to Scrap Tariffs on US Industrial Goods, Aiming to Unlock Lower Auto Duties

1 year ago

Europe

War

Economics

EU Plans New Sanctions on Russia, to Use €200 Billion Frozen Assets and €150 Billion Rearmament Fund; Russia Warns of Countermeasures

1 year ago

Europe

Automobile

Climate

EU Carmakers Say 2035 Zero-Emission Mandate Unworkable, Urge Policy Reset

1 year ago

Europe

Britain

Economics

Eurozone Confidence Falls While UK Sentiment Rebounds in August

1 year ago

India

World

Rahul Gandhi, RJD Leaders Launch 16-Day 'Voter Adhikar Yatra' in Bihar Over SIR Vote Theft Allegations; Election Commission Responds

1 year ago

Will Kamoa-Kakula Project 95 be fully commissioned by 2026-12-31?

Apr 7, 1:27 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

78.03%chance

1448589

OptionVotes

YES

18367

5833

Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 19, 3:12 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

10.19%chance

52021

OptionVotes

YES

2969

337

Will the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission approve Oklo's license application for a nuclear reactor before January 2028?

Apr 23, 6:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.71%chance

11987

OptionVotes

YES

563

Next Commission president from Eastern Europe?

May 20, 2:16 AMDec 30, 3:04 AM

28.83%chance

5949

OptionVotes

YES

1571

636

When will the EU Commission's investigation into Google's AdTech business end?

Jul 28, 11:52 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

3369

OptionProbability

2027/2028

2025/2026

2029/2030

After 2030

2023/2024

Will another member of the Central Military Commission of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?

Nov 2, 12:48 PMApr 1, 3:59 PM

75.24%chance

6101

OptionVotes

YES

141

Citizens Redistricting Commission resumes congressional district maps in 2031?

Nov 19, 6:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

1100

909

Will China commission a fourth conventional aircraft carrier before 2030?

Jan 1, 6:30 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

64.57%chance

461

OptionVotes

YES

135

Will the Royal Navy plan to commission more than seven SSN AUKUS submarines?

May 10, 10:57 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

62.13%chance

240

OptionVotes

YES

Will the USA's CVN-81 "Doris Miller" Aircraft Carrier be launched and commissioned by the end of 2032 as planned?

Nov 27, 7:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.93%chance

533

OptionVotes

YES

113

105

Will the US Navy commission more than five Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?

Sep 30, 1:20 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

47.39%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

When will the first Type 26 frigate be commissioned by the Royal Navy?

Feb 10, 11:48 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

-2027

2028

2029

2030+

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Prediction markets for Commission

Will Kamoa-Kakula Project 95 be fully commissioned by 2026-12-31?

Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

Will the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission approve Oklo's license application for a nuclear reactor before January 2028?

Next Commission president from Eastern Europe?

When will the EU Commission's investigation into Google's AdTech business end?

Will another member of the Central Military Commission of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?

Citizens Redistricting Commission resumes congressional district maps in 2031?

Will China commission a fourth conventional aircraft carrier before 2030?

Will the Royal Navy plan to commission more than seven SSN AUKUS submarines?

Will the USA's CVN-81 "Doris Miller" Aircraft Carrier be launched and commissioned by the end of 2032 as planned?

Will the US Navy commission more than five Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?

When will the first Type 26 frigate be commissioned by the Royal Navy?

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