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Xi Jinping Departs Xizang After Marking Region’s 60th Anniversary

1 year ago

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China Condemns Taiwan DPP's Denial of Communist Role in WWII as 'Blasphemy,' Highlights Ma Zhaoxu's Remarks

1 year ago

Which company will create AGI first?

Dec 7, 7:13 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

977653

OptionProbability

Anthropic

OpenAI

US Government

DeepMind

people not employed by a company

Communist Party of China

Other

google brain

N/A

Nvidia

character.ai

microsoft

Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?

Feb 15, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

356265

OptionProbability

Other

Li Qiang (Premier, 2nd rank PSC member)

Ding Xuexiang (Vice Premier, 6th rank PSC member)

Chen Jining (Party Secretary of Shanghai)

Zhang Shengmin, Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission

[Nobody] (Xi Jinping does not have a successor as General Secretary)

Li Xi (7th rank PSC member, Secretary of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection)

Wang Yi (Foreign Minister)

Wang Huning (tourist, political theorist, and 4th rank PSC member)

Chen Min'er (Party Secretary of Tianjin)

Yuan Jiajun (Party Secretary of Chongqing)

Yin Li (Party Secretary of Beijing)

Li Shulei (Head of Party Publicity)

Zhao Leji (3rd rank PSC member, chairman of NPC Standing Committee)

Cai Qi (5th rank PSC member, first-ranked of Secretariat)

Chen Wenqing (Secretary of the Central Political and Legal Affairs Commission)

Zhang Youxia (Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission)

Wang Yang (former Chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference)

3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.75%chance

171910

OptionVotes

YES

2681

374

Who will lead China after Xi Jinping leaves power?

May 3, 2:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13846

OptionProbability

Other

Zhang Shengmin

Ding Xuexiang

Li Qiang

Cai Qi

Wang Yang

He Lifeng

Wang Qishan

Tsai Ing-wen

CCP loses control of a province or SAR before 2030

Oct 15, 12:03 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

10.33%chance

10601

OptionVotes

YES

1249

925

Will Xi Jinping be either General Secretary or Chairman when he dies?

Nov 30, 3:20 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

44.44%chance

10252

OptionVotes

YES

141

Will Xi Jinping stop being the leader of China before China goes to war with Taiwan

Mar 28, 11:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.18%chance

7240

OptionVotes

YES

212

187

Will Liu Zhenli be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?

Jan 21, 4:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.65%chance

7135

OptionVotes

YES

159

Will Zhang Shengmin be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?

Jan 21, 3:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.02%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

125

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Prediction markets for Communist Party of China

Prediction markets for Communist Party of China

Prediction markets for Communist Party of China

Which company will create AGI first?

Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?

3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]

Who will lead China after Xi Jinping leaves power?

CCP loses control of a province or SAR before 2030

Will Xi Jinping be either General Secretary or Chairman when he dies?

Will Xi Jinping stop being the leader of China before China goes to war with Taiwan

Will Liu Zhenli be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?

Will Zhang Shengmin be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?

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