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7 months ago

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China Condemns Taiwan DPP's Denial of Communist Role in WWII as 'Blasphemy,' Highlights Ma Zhaoxu's Remarks

7 months ago

Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?

Feb 15, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

346245

OptionProbability

Other

Li Qiang (Premier, 2nd rank PSC member)

Ding Xuexiang (Vice Premier, 6th rank PSC member)

Chen Jining (Party Secretary of Shanghai)

Zhang Shengmin, Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission

[Nobody] (Xi Jinping does not have a successor as General Secretary)

Wang Yang (former Chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference)

Li Xi (7th rank PSC member, Secretary of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection)

Wang Yi (Foreign Minister)

Wang Huning (tourist, political theorist, and 4th rank PSC member)

Chen Min'er (Party Secretary of Tianjin)

Yuan Jiajun (Party Secretary of Chongqing)

Yin Li (Party Secretary of Beijing)

Li Shulei (Head of Party Publicity)

Zhao Leji (3rd rank PSC member, chairman of NPC Standing Committee)

Cai Qi (5th rank PSC member, first-ranked of Secretariat)

Chen Wenqing (Secretary of the Central Political and Legal Affairs Commission)

Zhang Youxia (Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission)

Which company will create AGI first?

Dec 7, 7:13 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

734384

OptionProbability

DeepMind

OpenAI

Anthropic

US Government

xAI

people not employed by a company

Communist Party of China

Other

Who will lead China after Xi Jinping leaves power?

May 3, 2:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13846

OptionProbability

Other

Zhang Shengmin

Ding Xuexiang

Li Qiang

Cai Qi

Wang Yang

He Lifeng

Wang Qishan

Tsai Ing-wen

CCP loses control of a province or SAR before 2030

Oct 15, 12:03 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

10.33%chance

10601

OptionVotes

YES

1249

925

3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.96%chance

8548

OptionVotes

YES

1334

752

To Lam to become the next president of Vietnam, in addition to being General Secretary

Jan 25, 7:37 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

93.54%chance

3301

OptionVotes

YES

380

Will Xi Jinping be either General Secretary or Chairman when he dies?

Nov 30, 3:20 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

44.44%chance

10252

OptionVotes

YES

141

Will new KMT Chair Cheng Li-wun meet in person with Chinese President Xi Jinping before 2027?

Dec 24, 4:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35%chance

5251

OptionVotes

YES

136

Will Xi Jinping stop being the leader of China before China goes to war with Taiwan

Mar 28, 11:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.18%chance

7240

OptionVotes

YES

212

187

Will the CCP appoint a Party Secretary of Taiwan before 2030?

Jul 18, 2:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.03%chance

355

OptionVotes

YES

133

Will new KMT Chair Cheng Li-wun meet in person with Chinese President Xi Jinping before 2028?

Oct 21, 3:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.4%chance

252

OptionVotes

YES

124

Will Zhang Shengmin be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?

Jan 21, 3:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.02%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

125

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Prediction markets for Communist Party of China

Prediction markets for Communist Party of China

Prediction markets for Communist Party of China

Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?

Which company will create AGI first?

Who will lead China after Xi Jinping leaves power?

CCP loses control of a province or SAR before 2030

3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]

To Lam to become the next president of Vietnam, in addition to being General Secretary

Will Xi Jinping be either General Secretary or Chairman when he dies?

Will new KMT Chair Cheng Li-wun meet in person with Chinese President Xi Jinping before 2027?

Will Xi Jinping stop being the leader of China before China goes to war with Taiwan

Will the CCP appoint a Party Secretary of Taiwan before 2030?

Will new KMT Chair Cheng Li-wun meet in person with Chinese President Xi Jinping before 2028?

Will Zhang Shengmin be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?

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