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Xi Jinping Departs Xizang After Marking Region’s 60th Anniversary

4 months ago

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China Condemns Taiwan DPP's Denial of Communist Role in WWII as 'Blasphemy,' Highlights Ma Zhaoxu's Remarks

3 months ago

Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?

Feb 15, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

335958

OptionProbability

Other

Ding Xuexiang (Vice Premier, 6th rank PSC member)

Li Qiang (Premier, 2nd rank PSC member)

Chen Jining (Party Secretary of Shanghai)

Zhang Youxia (Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission)

Wang Yang (former Chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference)

[Nobody] (Xi Jinping does not have a successor as General Secretary)

Cai Qi (5th rank PSC member, first-ranked of Secretariat)

Li Xi (7th rank PSC member, Secretary of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection)

Wang Yi (Foreign Minister)

Wang Huning (tourist, political theorist, and 4th rank PSC member)

Chen Min'er (Party Secretary of Tianjin)

Yuan Jiajun (Party Secretary of Chongqing)

Yin Li (Party Secretary of Beijing)

Li Shulei (Head of Party Publicity)

Zhao Leji (3rd rank PSC member, chairman of NPC Standing Committee)

Chen Wenqing (Secretary of the Central Political and Legal Affairs Commission)

Which company will create AGI first?

Dec 7, 7:13 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

734384

OptionProbability

DeepMind

OpenAI

Anthropic

US Government

xAI

people not employed by a company

Communist Party of China

Other

Who will lead China after Xi Jinping leaves power?

May 3, 2:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10780

OptionProbability

Other

Ding Xuexiang

Wang Yang

Li Qiang

Cai Qi

He Lifeng

Wang Qishan

Tsai Ing-wen

CCP loses control of a province or SAR before 2030

Oct 15, 12:03 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

10.33%chance

10601

OptionVotes

YES

1249

925

Will Xi Jinping stop being the leader of China before China goes to war with Taiwan

Mar 28, 11:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.18%chance

7240

OptionVotes

YES

212

187

Will Xi Jinping be either General Secretary or Chairman when he dies?

Nov 30, 3:20 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

54.79%chance

9232

OptionVotes

YES

121

Will the CCP appoint a Party Secretary of Taiwan before 2030?

Jul 18, 2:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.03%chance

355

OptionVotes

YES

133

Will new KMT Chair Cheng Li-wun meet in person with Chinese President Xi Jinping before 2028?

Oct 21, 3:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.8%chance

118

OptionVotes

YES

118

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the KMT abandon the 1992 Consensus?

Jan 14, 4:12 AMJan 31, 3:59 PM

42.14%chance

211

OptionVotes

YES

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Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?

Which company will create AGI first?

Who will lead China after Xi Jinping leaves power?

CCP loses control of a province or SAR before 2030

Will Xi Jinping stop being the leader of China before China goes to war with Taiwan

Will Xi Jinping be either General Secretary or Chairman when he dies?

Will the CCP appoint a Party Secretary of Taiwan before 2030?

Will new KMT Chair Cheng Li-wun meet in person with Chinese President Xi Jinping before 2028?

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the KMT abandon the 1992 Consensus?

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