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China Politburo Tightens Ideological Rules, Mulls Ethnic Unity Law
Authors
6
10 days ago
Prediction markets for Communist Party Politburo
Prediction markets for Communist Party Politburo
When will the next Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?
Mar 27, 3:16 AM
Jan 27, 3:59 PM
2
119
Option
Probability
2027
2032
2037
2042
2047
33
17
17
17
17
Will any member of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?
Nov 2, 12:23 PM
Nov 1, 3:59 PM
67.41%
chance
4
87
Option
Votes
NO
YES
107
77
Will the 21st Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party, to be selected in 2027, include at least one woman?
Mar 27, 3:20 AM
Jan 27, 3:59 PM
47.35%
chance
5
51
Option
Votes
NO
YES
116
102
When will the first Politburo Standing Committee of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?
Mar 27, 3:12 AM
Jan 27, 3:59 PM
3
50
Option
Probability
2032
2037
2042
2047
2027
23
23
23
22
8
Will Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh resign or be removed from the Communist Party of Vietnam Politburo before 2026?
Jul 1, 2:44 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
39.31%
chance
2
25
Option
Votes
YES
NO
124
80
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