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Top stories

Disney Launches Stand-Alone ESPN Stream as Fox Debuts $20 FOX One

Disney Launches Stand-Alone ESPN Stream as Fox Debuts $20 FOX One

Authors

12

2 days ago

Prediction markets for Complex

Is there a vast complex of underground chambers and shafts extending nearly two kilometers under the pyramids?

Mar 23, 12:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.95%chance

218466

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4931

204

Does there exist a sorting algorithm with average time complexity better than O(n * log(n)) on a list of integers?

Nov 21, 5:39 AMNov 28, 4:59 AM

96.95%chance

305975

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3048

657

Does extraterrestrial life at least as complex as a fly exist anywhere in the solar system?

Dec 9, 2:09 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

7.35%chance

513532

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1569

891

Will AI (or humans) decode and translate whale communication patterns to where humans can understand complex inter-whale discussions by the end of 2034?

Jan 18, 5:00 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM

81.56%chance

261632

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1517

827

Will a complex nanoscale self-replicating assembler be developed before 2040?

Mar 16, 11:26 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

52.64%chance

361361

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1132

819

Will AI be regularly used to diagnose complex diseases by 2028?

Jan 19, 2:08 AMJul 2, 4:59 AM

30.66%chance

26980

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1117

923

Will quantum computers simulate complex biological systems faster or more accurately than classical computers by 2026?

Nov 19, 4:22 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.12%chance

21974

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1568

893

Complex communication with a non-human animal by 2050

Jun 15, 10:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

50%chance

9595

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

AutoGPT style agents will prove in the longer run the proper way to get automation of medium complexity tasks.

Apr 29, 10:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.75%chance

10389

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1187

907

When Quora answers get integrated into a LLM, will it be possible to query the LLM for users w/highest answer complexity

Mar 9, 3:35 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

42.6%chance

10319

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1012

989

Will geometric complexity theory solve P vs NP?

May 7, 6:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.3%chance

13270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1179

957

Will complex atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2040?

Apr 2, 9:54 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

41.37%chance

13260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

922

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Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Business
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United States
Disney Launches Stand-Alone ESPN Stream as Fox Debuts $20 FOX One
Authors
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2 days ago

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