Complex News
Prediction markets for Complex
Is there a vast complex of underground chambers and shafts extending nearly two kilometers under the pyramids?
Mar 23, 12:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3.95%chance
218466
OptionVotes
4931
204
Does there exist a sorting algorithm with average time complexity better than O(n * log(n)) on a list of integers?
Nov 21, 5:39 AMNov 28, 4:59 AM
96.95%chance
305975
OptionVotes
3048
657
Does extraterrestrial life at least as complex as a fly exist anywhere in the solar system?
Dec 9, 2:09 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM
7.35%chance
513532
OptionVotes
1569
891
Will AI (or humans) decode and translate whale communication patterns to where humans can understand complex inter-whale discussions by the end of 2034?
Jan 18, 5:00 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM
81.56%chance
261632
OptionVotes
1517
827
Will a complex nanoscale self-replicating assembler be developed before 2040?
Mar 16, 11:26 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
52.64%chance
361361
OptionVotes
1132
819
Will AI be regularly used to diagnose complex diseases by 2028?
Jan 19, 2:08 AMJul 2, 4:59 AM
30.66%chance
26980
OptionVotes
1117
923
Will quantum computers simulate complex biological systems faster or more accurately than classical computers by 2026?
Nov 19, 4:22 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
10.12%chance
21974
OptionVotes
1568
893
OptionVotes
100
100
AutoGPT style agents will prove in the longer run the proper way to get automation of medium complexity tasks.
Apr 29, 10:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
26.75%chance
10389
OptionVotes
1187
907
When Quora answers get integrated into a LLM, will it be possible to query the LLM for users w/highest answer complexity
Mar 9, 3:35 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
42.6%chance
10319
OptionVotes
1012
989
OptionVotes
1179
957
Will complex atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2040?
Apr 2, 9:54 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
41.37%chance
13260
OptionVotes
1048
922
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