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Top stories

CFTC Clarifies FBOT Rules, Opening U.S. Access to Offshore Crypto Exchanges

CFTC Clarifies FBOT Rules, Opening U.S. Access to Offshore Crypto Exchanges

Authors

32

5 months ago

FEMA Suspends Dozens of Staff After Letter Warns of Katrina-Scale Disaster

US Domestic Policy

Natural Disasters

FEMA Suspends Dozens of Staff After Letter Warns of Katrina-Scale Disaster

Authors

76

5 months ago

Trump Invokes Rare Pocket Rescission to Cancel $4.9 Billion Foreign Aid

US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

Trump Invokes Rare Pocket Rescission to Cancel $4.9 Billion Foreign Aid

Authors

33

5 months ago

UN Report Says Extreme Heat Threatens 2.4 Billion Workers and Global Output

Authors

15

5 months ago

US Domestic Policy

Justice Department Abandons Defense of Hispanic-Serving College Grants

Authors

29

5 months ago

US Gov Appointments

BlackRock, Nuveen, Taconic Join 90% PREPA Bondholders Abandoning Debt Deal as Luma Energy Sues Amid Oversight Board Shakeup

Authors

3

5 months ago

Amit Shah Defends India’s 130th Amendment Mandating Resignation for Jailed Leaders Amid Rahul Gandhi’s Vote Theft Claims and Opposition’s JPC Boycott

Authors

3

5 months ago

Rahul Gandhi, Tejashwi Yadav, MK Stalin Lead 'Voter Adhikar Yatra' in Bihar Alleging Vote Theft by BJP Amid Darbhanga Remarks Controversy

Authors

3

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Congress

Will Trump's use of IEEPA to enact tariffs without congress be ruled unlawful?

Mar 11, 1:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

76.91%chance

4244560

OptionVotes

NO

YES

18250

5479

Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?

Jul 21, 11:47 PMNov 4, 7:59 AM

7034068

OptionProbability

R Senate, D House

Democrats Sweep

Republicans Sweep

D Senate, R House

Other

52

37

10

1

0

Will a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?

Apr 28, 7:29 PMApr 29, 7:28 PM

38.43%chance

207725

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12657

7901

SCREEN Act passes during 119th Congress?

Aug 4, 6:19 PMJan 2, 11:59 PM

44.07%chance

94383

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1127

888

Elon Musk called to testify before Congress by 2028?

Apr 13, 7:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.99%chance

272168

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1603

624

Will Congress pass sweeping deregulatory measures by the end of 2026?

Feb 27, 5:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62.25%chance

221843

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1284

779

Will there be a fistfight or other similar physical altercation in US Congress (house or senate) before 2030?

Sep 26, 5:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.03%chance

17805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1199

834

Will Congress pass a bill eliminating or increasing per-country caps on employment-based green cards by December 31 2026

Jan 30, 6:42 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

28.17%chance

5602

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1597

626

Will Congress fund the Department of Homeland Security by February 13?

Feb 4, 2:30 PMFeb 14, 4:59 AM

41.7%chance

5385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1182

846

Elon Musk testifies before Congress by 2028?

Apr 16, 3:19 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

60.49%chance

8343

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1237

808

Will someone with the name Rigoberto/Rigobert win an Oscar, Olympic Gold Medal, or a US Congress Election by EOY2028?

Feb 14, 2:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.35%chance

15231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1177

933

Where will the 11th U.S. National Eucharistic Congress in 2029 take place?

Dec 12, 4:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Chicago, IL

New Orleans, LA

St. Louis, MO

Los Angeles, CA

Philadelphia, PA

Boston, MA

San Antonio, TX

Atlanta, GA

Denver, CO

Dallas, TX

Other (Comment below for which city - may add to the list)

Other

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

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