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Top stories

MSNBC to Become MS NOW, Drop Peacock Logo in Comcast Spinoff

Authors

129

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Consumer News

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

7210411

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4186

2254

Will Russia experience widespread queues for basic goods in at least 3 major cities in 2025 or 2026?

Jul 13, 8:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.36%chance

237191

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2442

409

Will a Jony Ive and Sam Altman collaboration lead to a hardware device intended for consumer use, released before 2030.

Sep 28, 1:58 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

73.01%chance

285333

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1356

824

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.04%chance

264557

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3638

276

China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips

May 12, 2:38 AMAug 12, 2:35 AM

10%chance

18618

OptionVotes

YES

NO

486

209

Will Brazil implement a four-day work week before 2030?

Oct 12, 3:59 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

5.57%chance

10577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

700

85

Will US Congress pass a law that substantially preempts state AI regulation before January 1, 2027?

Jun 22, 11:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.59%chance

10241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

191

62

Prediction markets are the hype cycle of 2026

Jan 3, 7:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.44%chance

6163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

63

Mustafa Suleyman out of Microsoft by EOY 2028?

Nov 12, 7:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.19%chance

381

OptionVotes

NO

YES

161

62

When will FDVR be released to the public?

May 27, 4:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

371

OptionProbability

2035-2040

2030-2035

Other

2025-2030

44

23

23

10

Will Model Intelligence diverge from consumer market share?

Apr 14, 12:44 AMApr 14, 12:30 AM

665

OptionProbability

Yes

N/A (unclear)

No

60

23

17

Who Hasbro buys Sanrio on 2030 only

Feb 10, 2:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.22%chance

240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

71

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
TV
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Culture
MSNBC to Become MS NOW, Drop Peacock Logo in Comcast Spinoff
Authors
129
10 months ago

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