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Top stories

Aurora Officials Seek Suspect After Rabbits Shot With Blow Darts

Aurora Officials Seek Suspect After Rabbits Shot With Blow Darts

Authors

4

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Control

Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?

Sep 19, 12:51 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

356491272

OptionProbability

R President, R Senate, D House

R Pres, D Senate, D House

R President, R Senate, R House - Republican Trifecta

R President, D Senate, R House

D President, D Senate, D House - Democrat Trifecta

D President, R Senate, R House

D President, D Senate, R House

D President, R Senate, D House

45

44

9

1

0

0

0

0

At the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?

Nov 12, 11:10 AMJun 29, 12:59 AM

17.65%chance

306100899

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4921

829

Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?

Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.62%chance

6273546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

45413

2202

Will there be nationwide price controls or rationing of consumer goods by 2027?

Apr 28, 9:28 PMJan 1, 10:27 PM

9.95%chance

3933854

OptionVotes

YES

NO

30085

3324

Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?

Nov 23, 11:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.65%chance

9122191

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14513

8421

Will the US implement some form of capital control by 2029?

Mar 9, 11:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.62%chance

5411110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6126

3286

Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Jan 7, 4:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

639778

OptionProbability

Republicans

Democrats

Independents

55

45

0

Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 6:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.89%chance

307328

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8082

3701

Will GiveWell fund Eave tubes to control malaria by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.83%chance

146935

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7913

2338

Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2030?

Jun 9, 5:07 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

15%chance

446918

OptionVotes

YES

NO

762

94

FDA approves YCT-529 male birth control pill before 2035?

Jul 1, 5:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.6%chance

64322

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13448

7436

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

54.42%chance

171802

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10297

9614

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