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Prediction markets for Covered California
On what year will Esmeralda have its first 50 non-staff permanent residents?
Oct 19, 5:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
72859
OptionProbability
33
30
26
20
20
19
18
17
17
17
13
11
If passed, will SB 1047 cover any Open Source model before 2029, not including those of Meta, OpenAI, Anthropic, etc?
Aug 29, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.35%chance
61165
OptionVotes
1098
911
Conditional on California SB 1047 law, will an AI cause $500 million in damage by end of 2026?
Aug 9, 4:49 PMDec 30, 7:59 AM
6570
OptionProbability
67
31
1
1
Will SCOTUS strike down California's Ebony Alert law by 2030?
Feb 17, 10:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
12.3%chance
290
OptionVotes
160
38
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