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Top stories

Rahul Gandhi, Tejashwi Yadav, MK Stalin Lead 'Voter Adhikar Yatra' in Bihar Alleging Vote Theft by BJP Amid Darbhanga Remarks Controversy

Rahul Gandhi, Tejashwi Yadav, MK Stalin Lead 'Voter Adhikar Yatra' in Bihar Alleging Vote Theft by BJP Amid Darbhanga Remarks Controversy

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for CPI

Poland: Will CPI inflation in Poland exceed X% throughout 2026 (CPI YoY)?

Jan 16, 9:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81609

OptionProbability

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

95

92

81

55

29

20

10

Will the CPI-U show higher inflation over the course of 2026 than over 2025?

Feb 15, 4:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.91%chance

161602

OptionVotes

NO

YES

164

61

US 2026 full year inflation (CPI) [20X]

Jan 7, 2:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.73%chance

6483

OptionVotes

NO

YES

540

100

Conditional on Republican trifecta in 2024, will CPI pass 10% by end of 2026

Nov 21, 7:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.61%chance

10473

OptionVotes

YES

NO

518

62

Will September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 22, 12:04 AMOct 14, 12:29 PM

74.57%chance

5331

OptionVotes

NO

YES

166

64

Will the CPI (less food and energy) be above 373.03 on Sept 2027?

Nov 11, 4:03 AMOct 10, 6:59 AM

47.09%chance

260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1060

943

UK Autumn Budget 2026: will any working-age benefit be cut or uprated below CPI?

Sep 22, 2:32 PMOct 28, 12:00 PM

40.5%chance

124

OptionVotes

NO

YES

122

45

Will November 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 26, 1:28 AMDec 10, 1:29 PM

49.46%chance

317

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

97

Will December 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 18, 6:10 PMDec 10, 12:25 PM

49.72%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

89

Will October 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 23, 12:11 AMNov 10, 1:29 PM

53.47%chance

11

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

Will November 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 24, 12:22 AMDec 10, 1:29 PM

53%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Is the CPI a fair measure of inflation?

Aug 15, 7:07 AM

100

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