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Top stories

Rahul Gandhi, Tejashwi Yadav, MK Stalin Lead 'Voter Adhikar Yatra' in Bihar Alleging Vote Theft by BJP Amid Darbhanga Remarks Controversy

Rahul Gandhi, Tejashwi Yadav, MK Stalin Lead 'Voter Adhikar Yatra' in Bihar Alleging Vote Theft by BJP Amid Darbhanga Remarks Controversy

Authors

3

10 months ago

Prediction markets for CPI

Poland: Will CPI inflation in Poland exceed X% throughout 2026 (CPI YoY)?

Jan 16, 9:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41564

OptionProbability

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

95

92

81

50

31

20

10

Will the CPI-U show higher inflation over the course of 2026 than over 2025?

Feb 15, 4:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70%chance

141511

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

65

Will US CPI inflation (CPI-U, 12-month, June 2026) exceed 4.0%?

Jun 5, 4:22 PMJul 18, 11:59 PM

75%chance

12537

OptionVotes

NO

YES

179

49

Conditional on Republican trifecta in 2024, will CPI pass 10% by end of 2026

Nov 21, 7:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.61%chance

10473

OptionVotes

YES

NO

518

62

Will June 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 8, 9:16 AMJul 14, 12:25 PM

18.16%chance

3167

OptionVotes

YES

NO

210

50

Will June 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 8, 10:13 AMJul 14, 12:25 PM

20.71%chance

3160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

43

US 2026 full year inflation (CPI) [20X]

Jan 7, 2:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.19%chance

3151

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1066

938

Will US CPI inflation (12-month) for June 2026 be 4.5% or higher?

Jun 21, 12:49 PMJul 14, 12:30 PM

21.44%chance

588

OptionVotes

YES

NO

183

61

Will July 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 14, 2:20 AMAug 12, 12:25 PM

63%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

86

Will the CPI (less food and energy) be above 373.03 on Sept 2027?

Nov 11, 4:03 AMOct 10, 6:59 AM

49.5%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

990

Will December 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 18, 6:10 PMDec 10, 12:25 PM

49.72%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

89

Will July 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 14, 3:14 AMAug 12, 12:25 PM

45%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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