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Criminal Investigation Department News

    Prediction markets for Criminal Investigation Department

    Is "jerky" a reference to human meat in Epstein files?

    Feb 15, 6:14 AMDec 31, 6:12 AM
    10%chance
    204872

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    3000

    333

    Will Pete Hegseth go to prison?

    Dec 21, 5:14 AMDec 21, 5:12 AM
    133579

    OptionProbability

    Not before 31 December 2030

    in 2030

    in 2028

    in 2029

    in 2027

    in 2026

    81

    7

    5

    5

    2

    1

    WIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted?

    Jan 12, 2:12 AMJan 12, 2:11 AM
    10.76%chance
    462837

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    288

    35

    Which people on the Kash Patel list of "Members of the Executive Branch Deep State" from his book will be investigated?

    Dec 14, 5:15 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
    132736

    OptionProbability

    John Bolton ā€“ Former National Security Advisor under President Trump

    John Brennan ā€“ Former Director of the CIA under President Obama, currently a Senior National Security and Intelligence Analyst at NBC and MSNBC

    James Comey ā€“ Former FBI Director

    James Clapper ā€“ Former Director of National Intelligence under President Obama, currently a National Security Analyst at CNN

    John Carlin ā€“ Acting Deputy Attorney General, former head of National Security Division at DoJ during the Russia Gate investigation by FBI

    Hillary Clinton ā€“ Former Democrat Party Nominee for President and Former Secretary of State under President Obama

    Merrick Garland ā€“ Attorney General under President Biden

    Kamala Harris ā€“ Vice President of the United States

    Loretta Lynch ā€“ Former Attorney General under President Obama

    Susan Rice ā€“ Former National Security Advisor under President Obama, currently Director of the Domestic Policy Council under President Biden

    Alexander Vindman ā€“ Former Director for European Affairs on the NSC under President Trump

    Andrew McCabe ā€“ Former Deputy Director of the FBI under President Trump

    Fiona Hill ā€“ Former NSC staffer who worked with Vindman and Ciaramella

    John Podesta ā€“ Former Counselor to President Obama

    Lisa Page ā€“ Former Legal Counsel for Deputy Director of the FBI Andrew McCabe and currently a National Security and Legal Analyst at NBC and MSNBC

    Eric Holder ā€“ Former Attorney General under President Obama and current Senior Counsel at Covington law firm

    Stephen Boyd ā€“ Former head of Legislative Affairs at DoJ under Deputy Attorney General Rosenstein

    Sally Yates ā€“ Former Deputy Attorney General under President Obama and briefly the Acting Attorney General under President Trump

    Evelyn Farkas ā€“ Former DoD official under President Obama

    Robert Mueller ā€“ Former Director of the FBI and Special Counsel

    Lloyd Austin ā€“ Secretary of Defense under President Biden

    Mark Milley ā€“ Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

    Jake Sullivan ā€“ National Security Advisor under President Biden

    Christopher Wray ā€“ Director of the FBI under President Trump and President Biden, former partner at King & Spalding

    James Baker ā€“ Former General Counsel for the FBI, currently a member of the Brookings Institute, former Deputy General Counsel at Twitter

    Eric Ciaramella ā€“ Former NSC staffer within the Obama and Trump administrations

    Mark Esper ā€“ Former Secretary of Defense under President Trump

    Lisa Monaco ā€“ Deputy Attorney General of the United States

    Pat Philbin ā€“ Former Deputy White House Counsel under President Trump

    Peter Strzok ā€“ Former Deputy Assistant Director of the FBI's Counterintelligence Division

    Michael Sussmann ā€“ Former legal representative for the Democratic National Committee and former partner at Perkins Coie law firm

    Robert Hur ā€“ Special Counsel to investigate Biden and former PADAG under Rosenstein

    Andrew Weissman ā€“ Former Deputy under Special Counsel Mueller

    Michael Atkinson ā€“ Former Intelligence Community Inspector General

    Pat Cipollone ā€“ Former White House Counsel under President Trump

    Timothy Thibault ā€“ Former Assistant Special Agent at the FBI's Washington Field Office

    Joe Biden ā€“ President of the United States

    Cassidy Hutchinson ā€“ Aide to Mark Meadows

    Brian Auten ā€“ Supervisory Intelligence Analyst within the FBI

    Elizabeth Dibble ā€“ Former Deputy Chief of Mission at the US Embassy in London

    Sarah Isgur Flores ā€“ Former Head of Communications at DoJ for AG Sessions

    Stephanie Grisham ā€“ Former Press Secretary for President Trump and Chief of Staff for Melania Trump

    Gina Haspel ā€“ Former Director of the CIA under President Trump and current advisor at King & Spalding law firm

    Curtis Heide ā€“ FBI Agent

    Nina Jankowicz ā€“ Former Executive Director of the Disinformation Governance Board in the Biden administration

    Lois Lerner ā€“ Former Director of the IRS under President Obama

    Charles Kupperman ā€“ Former Deputy National Security Advisor under President Trump

    Kenneth Mackenzie ā€“ Retired US Marine Corps General and former Commander of the United States Central Command

    Ryan McCarthy ā€“ Former Secretary of the Army under President Trump

    Mary McCord ā€“ Former Acting Assistant Attorney General for National Security at the DoJ and currently the Executive Director for the Georgetown Law Institute for Constitutional Advocacy and Protection

    Denis McDonough ā€“ Former Chief of Staff for President Obama and currently Secretary of Veterans Affairs

    Sally Moyer ā€“ Former Supervisory Attorney at the FBI and currently Legal Counsel at Cloudflare

    Bruce Ohr ā€“ Former Associate Deputy Attorney General

    Samantha Power ā€“ Former Ambassador to the United Nations under President Obama, currently Administrator of the United States Agency for International Development

    Bill Priestap ā€“ Former Assistant Director for the FBI Counterintelligence Division

    Rod Rosenstein ā€“ Former Deputy Attorney General under President Trump and current partner at King & Spalding law firm

    Miles Taylor ā€“ Former DHS official under President Trump, aka "Anonymous"

    Alyssa Farah ā€“ Former Director of Strategic Communications under President Trump

    Nellie Ohr ā€“ Former CIA Employee and Independent Contractor for Fusion GPS

    Bill Barr ā€“ Former Attorney General under President Trump

    100

    100

    100

    79

    76

    68

    68

    68

    66

    66

    66

    57

    56

    56

    51

    49

    48

    47

    46

    42

    41

    41

    41

    41

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    37

    37

    36

    35

    35

    34

    33

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    27

    27

    24

    What does pizza refer to in Epstein files (in addition to actual pizza food)?

    Feb 15, 6:22 AMDec 31, 6:19 AM
    232498

    OptionProbability

    Nothing other than the actual pizza food

    Interactions with (incl. sexual exploitation of) underage girls

    Other

    Child exploitation materials

    Adrenochrome

    49

    23

    15

    10

    3

    Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by...?

    Dec 30, 5:32 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
    11877

    OptionProbability

    Dec 31, 2026

    Jun 30, 2026

    Jan 31, 2026

    71

    38

    0

    Prop Bet: Which individuals involved in the Epstein case will resign from their positions or be charged? (Add own)

    Nov 23, 6:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    5839

    OptionProbability

    Option deleted. Don't vote!

    Alan Dershowitz

    Bill Clinton

    Donald Trump

    50

    46

    32

    19

    Will any of Slotkin, Kelly, Deluzio, Goodlander, Houlahan or Crow be indicted for that video?

    Nov 25, 7:45 PMJun 1, 6:44 PM
    6%chance
    7506

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    396

    25

    Will Trump face criminal charges relating to his involvement with Epstein?

    Dec 16, 8:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    11.36%chance
    11253

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    254

    61

    Will anyone be prosecuted for the murder of Alex Pretti by the end of 2027?

    Feb 23, 7:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    25.71%chance
    370

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    170

    59

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