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Prediction markets for CRO
OptionProbability
3950
1652
Will at least one other person be found guilty in a court of law for involvement in Crooks' Trump assassination attempt?
Jul 18, 2:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
2.72%chance
1537079
OptionVotes
44052
7896
Will Prince William be crowned King by the end of 2026?
Jun 26, 6:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
47.52%chance
455422
OptionVotes
987
928
When will a new mainline Animal Crossing game be released on a Nintendo console?
Sep 11, 9:12 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
295329
OptionProbability
35
23
15
14
9
4
Will OpenAI release a cross-platform web browser by the end of 2026?
Nov 22, 10:01 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM
70.37%chance
10932
OptionVotes
1541
649
Will William, Prince of Wales ever be crowned King of the United Kingdom?
Dec 27, 12:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
86.85%chance
17831
OptionVotes
1327
920
Sometime before 2031, AI is going to cross a generality threshold that allows for recursive self-improvement, and then FOOM to superhuman capability. Before that point humanity must solve AI safety or be helpless.
Dec 24, 3:53 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM
27.15%chance
17792
OptionVotes
990
970
Will Crowdstrike be found guilty or settle for securities fraud before 2027 (related to their 2024 outage)
Jul 25, 9:26 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
36.47%chance
9586
OptionVotes
1320
758
Will a crossing of the Strait of Gibraltar, between Morocco and Spain, have started construction by 2035?
Jul 4, 8:16 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
33.2%chance
15533
OptionVotes
1011
959
Twitter (X) Crosses 1 billion Monthly Active Users by 2030
Mar 26, 6:25 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
24.47%chance
14456
OptionVotes
1275
875
By 2040, the dominant intelligence will be as different from modern humans as modern humans are from cro magnons
Feb 26, 1:39 PMJan 27, 4:59 AM
40.61%chance
16422
OptionVotes
1160
873
Will New Zealand Crown Research Institutes be centralised by 2026?
Jan 7, 11:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM
40.41%chance
1359
OptionVotes
1214
824
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