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Two Teenagers Aged 16 and 18 Arrested for Philippi Attack on Three DA MPs; Ian Cameron Fired Shots

Two Teenagers Aged 16 and 18 Arrested for Philippi Attack on Three DA MPs; Ian Cameron Fired Shots

4

6 months ago

Dan Stock

Oct 26, 8:57 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

30472077212

OptionProbability

NO

YES

2539

1133

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.55%chance

301639715

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2659

2584

Who will be the next World Leader to Leave?

Feb 23, 3:06 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

161142470

OptionProbability

Keir Starmer

Benjamin Netanyahu

Volodomyr Zelenskyy

Emmanuel Macron

Javier Milei

Donald Trump

Lula Da Silva

Anthony Albanese

Recep Tayyip Erdogan

Vladimir Putin

32

22

19

11

5

4

3

1

1

1

Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

52%chance

452120313

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11005

10745

Will Daniel Litt win his $25,000 bet that David Budden will not solve the Hodge conjecture?

Dec 20, 9:06 PMDec 20, 9:05 PM

98.25%chance

107107924

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7503

133

Will the Dallas Mavericks "win" the Luka trade?

Feb 3, 5:39 AMSep 1, 8:59 PM

34.35%chance

1823434

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8619

3972

Will a major dating app use LLMs to simulate conversations by Valentine's Day 2026?

Feb 14, 1:02 AMFeb 15, 7:59 AM

9.41%chance

4323209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

30926

3084

Will an AI related disaster kill a million people or cause $1T of damage before 2070?

Sep 2, 8:54 AMSep 9, 10:59 PM

44%chance

568669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1047

854

Daily Coinflip

Feb 3, 11:27 PMFeb 5, 4:59 AM

50%chance

277761

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10000

10000

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Jan 12, 1:01 AMOct 28, 11:59 PM

65.65%chance

5103

OptionVotes

NO

YES

138

72

Will there be a tomb raider game about exhuming the grave of a scientist/genius (eg da vinci) for their DNA by 2030

Jan 22, 11:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

Quanto tempo dura o namora da Thati Azevedo

Jan 27, 7:33 PMDec 31, 7:33 PM

00

OptionProbability

1º trimestre 2026

2º trimestre 2026

3º trimestre 2026

4º trimestre 2026

25

25

25

25

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Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
South Africa
Crime
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Two Teenagers Aged 16 and 18 Arrested for Philippi Attack on Three DA MPs; Ian Cameron Fired Shots
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4
6 months ago

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