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Top stories

Two Teenagers Aged 16 and 18 Arrested for Philippi Attack on Three DA MPs; Ian Cameron Fired Shots

Two Teenagers Aged 16 and 18 Arrested for Philippi Attack on Three DA MPs; Ian Cameron Fired Shots

Authors

4

4 months ago

Prediction markets for DA

Will the ARC-AGI grand prize (v1, 2024 dataset) be claimed by end of 2025?

Jun 11, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3.05%chance

294872977

OptionVotes

YES

NO

58819

2107

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73%chance

294628706

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2722

2606

Who will be the next World Leader to Leave?

Feb 23, 3:06 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

148136525

OptionProbability

Keir Starmer

Volodomyr Zelenskyy

Benjamin Netanyahu

Lula Da Silva

Javier Milei

Emmanuel Macron

Donald Trump

Anthony Albanese

Recep Tayyip Erdogan

Vladimir Putin

32

24

16

8

7

6

3

1

1

1

Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

50.63%chance

432109670

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11029

10692

Will congestion pricing in NY be stopped for more than 30 days in the next year?

Jan 21, 3:23 AMJan 22, 7:59 AM

5.94%chance

3382775

OptionVotes

YES

NO

38284

4412

Will I think the "AI has a data bottleneck" people are dumb before the end of 2025?

Jan 26, 11:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.47%chance

5552571

OptionVotes

YES

NO

23161

4623

One of Elon Musk’s college aged henchmen charged with a federal crime before the end of day on December 31, 2025

Feb 3, 5:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.25%chance

4033292

OptionVotes

YES

NO

39230

3870

Will a major dating app use LLMs to simulate conversations by Valentine's Day 2026?

Feb 14, 1:02 AMFeb 15, 7:59 AM

25.11%chance

278930

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17417

5608

Is VASCO DA GAMA in the top 4 of the Brasileirão?

Jun 28, 2:39 AMDec 23, 2:38 AM

29.64%chance

468

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

65

Da li će Mario Vrećo i dalje biti drug sa Brankom do kraja 2025. godine

Jan 11, 2:52 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will there be a tomb raider game about exhuming the grave of a scientist/genius (eg da vinci) for their DNA by 2030

Jan 22, 11:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

Da li će Mario Vrećo izbaciti klip u 2025. godini koji će do kraja 2025. doći do 1M pregleda

Jan 11, 2:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
South Africa
Crime
Culture
Two Teenagers Aged 16 and 18 Arrested for Philippi Attack on Three DA MPs; Ian Cameron Fired Shots
Authors
4
4 months ago

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