defence News
Top stories
Prediction markets for defence
Which of NATO members will have met the target of 2% of GDP defence spending in any year before 2030?
Feb 12, 12:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
399394
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
70
70
70
66
Will Pete Hegseth write or say the words "Deus vult" while Secretary of Defence?
Jan 25, 1:40 PMJan 20, 10:59 PM
17.42%chance
25763
OptionVotes
218
46
Will NATO spend combined more than $2 trillion on defence by 2028?
Nov 21, 3:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
67.64%chance
10318
OptionVotes
336
212
Will Taiwan's Defence Budget rise to 2% of GDP in 2027?
May 8, 1:28 PMDec 31, 4:30 PM
82.35%chance
8238
OptionVotes
187
49
Will Canadian defence spending top 2.0% for any year before 2030?
Jul 12, 11:35 AMJan 1, 5:01 AM
34%chance
2124
OptionVotes
82
59
Will Taiwan buy any Air Defence System from Israel before 2035?
Apr 16, 6:51 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
70%chance
8101
OptionVotes
287
177
OptionVotes
70
69
OptionVotes
108
70
Who DOSsed Finnish Defence Ministry web pages? (suggest answers, may take time to resolve)
Sep 25, 1:19 AMOct 2, 8:59 PM
368
OptionProbability
30
12
10
9
9
9
8
8
7
OptionVotes
103
49
Will Taiwan's Defence Budget rise to 2.5% of GDP in 2027?
May 8, 1:28 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
59.02%chance
110
OptionVotes
80
62
OptionVotes
80
62