OptionProbability
The regime remains stable, and no evacuation or travel of Khamenei to Russia or evacuation to any other country is expected by 1 December 2027
Other
Before 28 February 2026
After 15 May By 1 September 2026
After 1 September By 31 November 2026
After 28 February By 31 March 2026
After 31 March By 15 May 2026
After 1 November 2026 By 1 June 2027
After 1 June 2027 By 1 December 2027
50
26
6
5
3
2
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
153
137
Between $10 billion and $50 billion
Between $1 billion and $10 billion
Between $50 billion and $100 billion
Greater than $100 billion
Has not been capitalized as of January 21, 2029
>$0, less than $1 billion
48
18
14
9
1202
832
650
554
100
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