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Top stories

Whistleblower Says DOGE Copied Entire Social Security Database to Unsecured Cloud

Whistleblower Says DOGE Copied Entire Social Security Database to Unsecured Cloud

Authors

45

8 months ago

Biden-Appointed Judge Releases Two 15-Year-Olds Charged in Attempted Carjacking, Assault on Former DOGE Staffer

Biden-Appointed Judge Releases Two 15-Year-Olds Charged in Attempted Carjacking, Assault on Former DOGE Staffer

Authors

26

9 months ago

Florida Governor DeSantis and CFO Ingoglia Subpoena Orange County Over DOGE Audit on DEI Spending, Propose Property Tax Cuts via Amendment

Florida Governor DeSantis and CFO Ingoglia Subpoena Orange County Over DOGE Audit on DEI Spending, Propose Property Tax Cuts via Amendment

Authors

17

8 months ago

Trump Administration Unveils One Big Beautiful Bill, $750 Billion EU Energy Deal, 15-Year Offshore Leasing, EPA’s Lee Zeldin Leads DOGE Savings

Authors

9

9 months ago

US Domestic Policy

Zeldin Says EPA Scraps $29 Billion in Green Energy Grants Amid Fraud Probe

Authors

5

9 months ago

Fifth Circuit Says NLRB Structure Likely Illegal, Halts Case Against SpaceX

Authors

4

9 months ago

Executive Orders

US Domestic Policy

Black Mayors Cite Crime Declines as Trump Threatens Wider Federal Intervention

Authors

10

9 months ago

U.S. Layoffs Surge 29% to 62,075 in July Amid DOGE Cuts, AI, PMI Declines, 446 Bankruptcies, and Record Student Loan Delinquencies

Authors

7

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Department of Government Efficiency

DOGE cuts $1T federal deficit by FY 2026?

Feb 4, 6:07 AMOct 1, 6:59 AM

3.19%chance

3710890

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5508

182

Will there be a "DOGE Dividend," even if it is actually just mislabelled stimulus, by the 2026 midterms?

Feb 19, 6:04 PMNov 6, 4:59 AM

3.73%chance

5410450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5083

197

Will Vivek Ramaswamy ever hold an elected government position?

Jan 12, 11:25 PMJan 20, 4:59 AM

78.36%chance

365801

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1903

525

Will RFK Jr. have an official role in the Trump Administration at the start of 2027?

Mar 27, 4:01 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

85.17%chance

174866

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13354

9302

Will the Department of Government Efficiency recommend cancelling Blue Origin's Human Landing System before 2029?

Nov 13, 3:34 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

4.64%chance

183985

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4535

221

Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?

Jun 9, 8:22 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

24.39%chance

313953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1761

568

Will the Department of Government Efficiency recommend cancelling SLS before 2029?

Nov 13, 3:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

75.91%chance

152154

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1775

563

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1629

626

Will the Department of Government Efficiency lead to at least 100,000 federal government layoffs by 4th of July 2026?

Nov 13, 4:04 AMJul 7, 6:59 AM

75.79%chance

13666

OptionVotes

NO

YES

177

57

DOGE (Dept. of Govt. Efficiency) Meta Market

Mar 17, 4:08 AMJan 24, 10:59 AM

15532

OptionProbability

Elon Musk involvement cut short

5+ of lawsuits against DOGE dismissed

Will generally be perceived as a bad thing by mid 2026

Announces $500 billion in savings

50 lawsuits launched against DOGE

+20 cases against DOGE results in them being barred from / ordered to do something

DOGE Creation Executive Order Blocked / Overturned

Announces $1 trillion in savings

Finds fraud worth $100 billion

98

68

67

45

42

41

20

8

4

Will Elon Musk officially leave his role at DOGE before the November 2026 midterms?

Feb 12, 3:36 AMNov 3, 12:00 AM

96%chance

4429

OptionVotes

NO

YES

419

12

Federal workforce exceeds 2.35 million (excluding USPS) by March 31, 2030?

Sep 25, 12:35 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

37.17%chance

130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

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