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Prediction markets for Department of National Defense
Will a deepfake impersonating a White House official lead to a military incident involving US troops by October 7, 2025?
Apr 10, 11:14 AMOct 7, 11:59 PM
4.4%chance
3210092
OptionVotes
2808
219
Trump's first cabinet member fired, failed, or resigned Pete Hegseth?
Apr 21, 8:52 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM
37.24%chance
352494
OptionVotes
130
77
OptionVotes
1205
830
OptionProbability
80
59
59
45
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