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Prediction markets for DIA
Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?
Dec 26, 6:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
40%chance
535035
OptionVotes
1439
430
In 2028, will any major hospital advertise the use of AI as the primary method of diagnosis of human patients?
Mar 10, 12:37 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
35.91%chance
734737
OptionVotes
1391
1188
Will a major video game released in 2026 have NPC dialogue generated on-the-fly by a Large Language Model?
Jan 12, 5:47 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM
38.48%chance
373458
OptionVotes
1193
845
OptionVotes
988
950
Will AI be regularly used to diagnose complex diseases by 2028?
Jan 19, 2:08 AMJul 2, 4:59 AM
26.13%chance
301765
OptionVotes
1292
854
Will U.S. employment in Diagonistic Imaging Centers (proxy for radiologists) go below 2022 levels by 2034?
Sep 15, 9:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
56.94%chance
61500
OptionVotes
11500
8696
OptionVotes
1536
651
Will the UK return the Kohinoor Diamond to India before 2030?
Apr 30, 1:33 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
15.98%chance
191145
OptionVotes
1616
829
OptionProbability
99
40
37
36
34
34
34
34
34
21
12
OptionVotes
360
43
OptionProbability
101
81
OptionVotes
99
82
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