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Prediction markets for DICE
OptionProbability
2049
758
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
88
80
80
80
80
80
80
76
75
72
72
71
70
70
70
69
68
66
66
66
66
65
65
65
63
62
62
61
61
60
59
59
56
56
54
53
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
46
45
45
44
43
41
40
40
38
35
34
34
34
32
28
28
25
25
25
24
17
15
10
10
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Is the probability of dying in Anthropic Snake Eyes 1/36?
Jul 20, 8:54 PMDec 31, 9:54 PM
18.62%chance
246864
OptionVotes
1337
860
Will GPT-5 be able to GM a session of my custom TTRPG to my satisfaction?
Jun 11, 9:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
18.04%chance
262831
OptionVotes
2131
469
Will there be a d20 (20 sided dice) emoji by the end of 2027?
Jun 12, 7:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
15.98%chance
141705
OptionVotes
2293
436
Will the Black Rhinoceros (Diceros bicornis) become Extinct by 2100?
Feb 22, 7:35 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM
22.29%chance
15644
OptionVotes
854
342
What's the probability of death in Snake Eyes Variant N?
Sep 8, 6:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
47.96%chance
9573
OptionVotes
372
367
Will the Sumatran Rhinoceros (Dicerorhinus sumatrensis) become extinct by 2100?
Feb 21, 8:24 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM
83.19%chance
11477
OptionVotes
726
433
Will the wild population of the Sumatran Rhinoceros (Dicerorhinus sumatrensis) become extinct by 2100?
Mar 1, 8:15 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
87.79%chance
3264
OptionVotes
676
436
Will the wild population of the Black Rhinoceros (Diceros bicornis) become Extinct by 2100?
Apr 21, 7:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
34.34%chance
4185
OptionVotes
652
397
OptionVotes
1030
971
OptionProbability
16
15
14
13
11
10
10
10
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