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Prediction markets for District Council

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

47.66%chance

52539

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10480

9542

¿Partido ganador de la eleccion a la alcaldia del D.C. en 2025? / Winning party of the C.D. 2025 mayoral election?

Dec 16, 4:50 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

583

OptionProbability

Partido Nacional

Libertad y Refundación

Partido Liberal

Otro / Other

36

34

33

17

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 15

Apr 13, 3:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

340

OptionProbability

Tim McOsker (incumbent)

Other

66

34

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 9

May 23, 2:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

230

OptionProbability

Other

Estuardo Mazariegos

63

37

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 7

Apr 2, 5:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

120

OptionProbability

Monica Rodriguez (incumbent)

Other

50

50

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 5

Apr 13, 3:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

220

OptionProbability

Katy Young Yaroslavsky (incumbent)

Other

59

41

Katy Young Yaroslavsky reelected to Los Angeles City Council in 2026?

Mar 28, 2:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.94%chance

215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 3

Apr 13, 3:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

Other

Tim Gaspar

55

45

2026 City of Los Angeles Charter Reform Predictions

Jul 28, 6:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

No change to the charter

Ranked choice voting for city council or city wide office

Expand the number of council districts

50

50

37

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 1

Apr 13, 3:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

05

OptionProbability

Eunisses Hernandez (incumbent)

Other

Raul Claros

41

35

24

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 11

Apr 8, 3:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Traci Park (incumbent)

Other

50

50

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 13

Apr 13, 3:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Hugo Soto-Martinez (incumbent)

Other

50

50

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