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Prediction markets for DMV
Will Tesla obtain an AV Driverless Testing or Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2026
Jan 5, 8:01 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM
3.66%chance
128709
OptionVotes
5131
195
Will Zoox obtain an AV Driverless Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2026
Jan 12, 4:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
21.54%chance
81707
OptionVotes
1909
524
Will Zoox obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description]
Jan 27, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
21.02%chance
101372
OptionVotes
1938
516
How many US states will legally block Waymo or Tesla Robotaxi as of Dec 31, 2027?
Oct 1, 1:58 AMOct 1, 6:59 AM
6490
OptionProbability
61
43
36
17
Will Tesla's steering-wheel-less Cybercab give rides to the public in Dallas by November 30, 2026?
Oct 13, 1:46 AMDec 5, 11:59 PM
78.81%chance
5127
OptionVotes
199
36
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