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Prediction markets for DNC
Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries?
Mar 25, 1:59 PMAug 8, 1:30 PM
12228979
OptionProbability
66
50
42
33
30
25
23
18
16
10
9
9
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
OptionProbability
47
30
18
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionVotes
1394
717
Who will finish top 2 in any state for the 2028 Democratic primary for President?
Dec 12, 10:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
193152
OptionProbability
72
48
40
38
34
32
27
25
24
20
19
16
15
12
9
8
8
5
5
OptionProbability
84
77
62
60
50
40
39
26
25
23
20
16
14
2
Conditional on this candidate winning the 2028 Democratic presidential primary, will they win the general election?
Feb 13, 2:47 PMNov 8, 4:59 AM
272168
OptionProbability
64
62
59
55
55
55
53
53
50
50
49
48
42
40
37
OptionVotes
305
33
Will the 2028 Democratic nominee be a straight white male?
Mar 19, 12:28 AMJun 26, 6:59 AM
62.29%chance
221560
OptionVotes
1285
778
Conditional on (x) being the 2028 democratic nominee, (x) wins the 2028 presidential election
Oct 26, 12:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7321
OptionProbability
59
53
53
53
50
45
42
Will Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson receive at least 1 delegate vote (POTUS/VP) at the 2028 Democratic National Convention?
Sep 26, 3:47 AMNov 8, 12:59 AM
8.9%chance
3220
OptionVotes
320
31
Which states will vote before Super Tuesday in the 2028 Democratic Party primaries?
Jan 22, 9:36 PMNov 2, 3:59 AM
5163
OptionProbability
69
61
55
51
48
46
41
41
41
41
36
36
34
Will a Rhodes Scholar be on the Democratic or Republican Ticket in 2028?
Aug 13, 3:06 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM
21.37%chance
130
OptionVotes
280
241
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