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Dodgers News

    Prediction markets for Dodgers

    📆What will happen in 2025? [Add Responses]

    Aug 1, 12:05 PMDec 31, 6:59 PM
    300155413

    OptionProbability

    Trump will be the POTUS

    FED rates will be below 5% on 1st January 2025

    MrBeast Channel Subscribers will be between 300M to 350M on 1st Jan 2025

    At Least 1 earthquake with magnitude 8.0 or higher

    1 or more Jan 6 rioters get pardoned

    Israel attacks Iranian nuclear facilities

    Hollow Knight Silk song released

    LEMMiNO releases a new video

    Elon removed as doge head

    Pope dies

    Dodgers win World Series

    Yoon Suk Yeol impeachment upheld by supreme court

    Its revealed that Elon Musk had more children then 13 already known

    Famous global brand goes through a rebranding

    GPT 5 releases

    T1 three-peat as League of Legends world champions

    Los Ratones win against T1, or lose 2-3 (either case should resolve YES, if they don't play against each other this should be NO)

    This whole market gets more than 300 traders

    Russia retains de facto control over Crimea

    Avatar: Fire and Ash released

    King Charles will be alive for the whole year of 2025

    FED rates will be below 4% on 31st December 2025

    Any incumbent world leader diagnosed with cancer after 28th January 2025

    Alan's Conservative Countdown to AGI >= 97%

    There will be less MAU at manifold in December 2025 then there would be in January 2025

    In one of the monthly polls, >= 80.0% of Manifold users who provide an opinion agree that weak AGI has been achieved

    Yoon Suk Yeol convicted of insurrection

    Saudi Arabia - Israel normalize relations

    MKBHD marries his girlfriend Nikki Hair

    At least one world leader (prime minister, president, or monarch) gets assassinated while in office

    Department of Education ended by executive order (even if temporarily)

    Ali Khamenei assassisnated

    Ali Khamenei dies a natural death

    Ukraine internal coup attempt

    Elections in Bangladesh come to pass (currently planned for late 2025 to early 2026)

    At least one Premier of a Canadian province proposes joining the USA

    Any newspaper reports a US Default on any debt

    In one of the monthly polls, a plurality of Manifold users declares the achievement of weak superintelligence

    Chuck Schumer resigns

    Californian independence gains enough signatures

    Attempted assassination on Zelensky in which he gets hurt but survives

    Attempt to assassinate trump in 2025

    Russia-Ukraine war will end in 2025

    Harry and Meghan divorce

    Early general elections in Pakistan

    Humanity's Last Exam passed with a grade of 80%

    US-China war

    Biden gets hospitalised

    EF3+ Tornado Impacts Florida

    United States government acknowledges the existence of life anywhere other than on or close to Earth

    Kate and William divorce

    Sam Altman gets fired again

    At least one Premier of a Canadian province takes a concrete step, such as holding a referendum, to join the USA

    Humanity's Last Exam passed with a grade of 90%

    One of the Millenium prize problems falls to a model

    Zelensky Assassinated

    Article 5 of NATO invoked

    Marco Rubio fired or "resigns" upon rumors of his impending termination

    Elon Musk diagnosed with COVID-19

    Congress repeals any tariff

    In one of the monthly polls, >= 33.3% of Manifold users who provide an opinion agree that non-human intelligence has influenced Earth

    A country leaves NATO

    NATO at war with Russia

    A nuclear bomb explodes

    FrontierMath solved (>= 80%) and model is available to any person in the United States willing to pay for it

    Bitcoin reaches 150k sometimes during 2025

    United States government acknowledges the existence of non-human intelligence on or close to Earth

    Trump assassinated

    2025 hotter then 2024

    USA claims intelligences of extra-terrestrial origin have credibly visited or sent technology to a location within our solar system in an official government statement

    Putin assassinated

    OpenAI o6 or any o6 variant released

    China annexes Taiwan

    Filibuster abolished

    Putin dies

    2025 is the 15th "Year of Three Popes"

    Los Ratones go to LoL Worlds

    Mike Johnson is not Speaker

    Biden dies

    Bethesda releases a new game in the Elder Scroll series

    Taylor Swift will be "single" anytime during 2025

    US debt ceiling will be scrapped during 2025

    Apple will release first foldable smartphone during 2025

    The winds of winter by GRR Martin will release

    LK99 replicates at last

    Greenland Joins USA

    End of the world by celery

    Ukraine joins NATO

    Humanity's Last Exam passed with a grade of 80% on or before June 30

    A US state secedes from the union

    51st US State

    A country leaves the EU

    Phillies win the World Series

    Peter Turkson elected Pope

    GTA 6 releases

    After the release of GPT-5, every monthly Manifold poll results in a plurality of respondents agreeing that weak AGI has been achieved

    Federal Reserve cuts rates to zero

    2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US

    Harris will be the POTUS

    Bitcoin will be > 100k on 1st January 2025

    MrBeast Channel Subscribers will be below 300M on 1st Jan 2025

    MrBeast Channel Subscribers will be above 350M on 1st Jan 2025

    Jimmy Carter will be alive on 1st January 2025

    Jimmy Carter will be alive on 31st December 2025

    Humanity's Last Exam passed with a grade of 80% on or before March 31

    Francis is always Pope

    New pope takes name "Francis"

    First papal conclave >= 10 ballots

    First conclave elects Pope on first ballot

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    99

    99

    99

    98

    98

    96

    93

    68

    43

    20

    19

    16

    10

    9

    9

    9

    8

    7

    7

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Tiger Woods Will Win Another PGA Tournament

    Aug 9, 3:01 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
    19.86%chance
    3812040

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1333

    838

    Hot Stove: Dodgers 2026 Free Agents & Trades

    Nov 5, 12:18 AMMar 29, 11:59 PM
    33322

    OptionProbability

    Miguel Rojas

    Alex Vesia

    Kike Hernandez

    Micheal Kopech

    Kyle Tucker

    Kyle Tucker

    Alex Bregman

    Robert Suarez

    Ha-seong Kim

    Cody Bellinger

    Kirby Yates

    Edwin Diaz

    Michael Conforto

    Bo Bichette

    Tarik Skubal

    Munetaka Murakami

    Devin Williams

    100

    100

    68

    55

    55

    50

    45

    45

    41

    37

    34

    33

    31

    28

    24

    21

    0

    Which team will win the 2026 MLB World Series?

    Nov 1, 10:02 AMNov 10, 11:59 PM
    131611

    OptionProbability

    Los Angeles Dodgers

    Arizona Diamondbacks

    New York Yankees

    Philadelphia Phillies

    Houston Astros

    New York Mets

    Seattle Mariners

    Atlanta Braves

    Toronto Blue Jays

    Boston Red Sox

    Chicago Cubs

    Milwaukee Brewers

    San Diego Padres

    Athletics (formerly Oakland Athletics)

    Baltimore Orioles

    Chicago White Sox

    Cincinnati Reds

    Cleveland Guardians

    Detroit Tigers

    Kansas City Royals

    Los Angeles Angels

    Miami Marlins

    Minnesota Twins

    San Francisco Giants

    St. Louis Cardinals

    Tampa Bay Rays

    Texas Rangers

    Washington Nationals

    Colorado Rockies

    Pittsburgh Pirates

    14

    8

    7

    6

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    Sports loyalty tracker (NFL, NBA, MLB, and more!)

    Feb 2, 7:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    191044

    OptionProbability

    Stephen Curry- Warriors

    Jimmy Butler- Warriors

    LeBron James- Lakers

    Shohei Ohtani- Dodgers

    Mike Trout- Angels

    Patrick Mahomes- Chiefs

    Tadej Pogačar

    Aaron Judge- Yankees

    Nikola Jokic- Nuggets

    Josh Allen- Bills

    Luka Doncic- Lakers

    Victor Wembanyama- Spurs

    93

    79

    73

    70

    69

    66

    65

    59

    52

    52

    42

    41

    Dodgers return to World Series in 2026?

    Oct 31, 12:12 AMOct 1, 10:59 PM
    37.51%chance
    5194

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    129

    77

    Dodgers achieve a three-peat?

    Nov 6, 6:35 PMMar 25, 5:28 PM
    16.88%chance
    6154

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    222

    45

    OptionProbability

    Los Angeles Dodgers

    Philadelphia Phillies

    Other

    New York Mets

    Atlanta Braves

    San Francisco Giants

    Chicago Cubs

    Cincinnati Reds

    Arizona Diamondbacks

    St. Louis Cardinals

    27

    13

    13

    11

    7

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    179

    56

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    231

    118

    OptionProbability

    Los Angeles Dodgers

    Philadelphia Phillies

    New York Mets

    San Francisco Giants

    Atlanta Braves

    Chicago Cubs

    Cincinnati Reds

    Arizona Diamondbacks

    St. Louis Cardinals

    Other

    27

    13

    11

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    Will China Host a MLB World Tour Event before 2040?

    Apr 12, 6:25 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    41.67%chance
    220

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    160

    123

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