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Prediction markets for Dragoneer

Dragon Stock

May 2, 4:25 PMMay 2, 9:59 PM

386182414

OptionProbability

NO

YES

3271

1953

Celestial Dragon Agenda Stock

May 3, 4:25 PMMay 3, 9:59 PM

173268

OptionProbability

NO

YES

974

203

A biological creature aesthetically recognizable as a dragon will exist on earth by 2060

Sep 27, 3:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

53.17%chance

292694

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1252

580

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2026?

Jan 21, 3:07 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

32.17%chance

212448

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1452

689

Is Shamrock An Impure Celestial Dragon?

Feb 20, 6:41 AMJan 1, 6:41 AM

60.65%chance

111840

OptionVotes

NO

YES

124

81

Is/Was Shank a celestial dragon?

Mar 5, 6:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

89.22%chance

16803

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1402

902

Will "A Song of Ice and Fire" be completed before "House of the Dragon"?

Nov 5, 6:22 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6%chance

7506

OptionVotes

YES

NO

306

67

Will Sabo or Dragon fight Akainu? (With or without Luffy)

Mar 4, 11:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17381

OptionProbability

mainly Sabo

mainly Luffy, Sabo helps

mainly Dragon

mainly Luffy, Dragon helps

None of these happen, only Luffy fights him alone

mainly Luffy, both of them help

94

86

65

54

54

50

Will Dragon Quest 13 feature character designs that resemble Akira Toriyama's?

Mar 8, 4:11 AMFeb 2, 1:29 PM

70.39%chance

9371

OptionVotes

NO

YES

337

182

Will there be another color of Super Saiyan in the Dragon Ball series by Jan 1st 2026?

Dec 3, 3:04 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

17.56%chance

12368

OptionVotes

YES

NO

410

75

Will Dragon die before he makes a move?

Aug 5, 4:05 PMDec 31, 4:03 PM

48.13%chance

7163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

Will "Dragon Agnosticism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Nov 18, 7:17 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

20%chance

16

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

69

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