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Prediction markets for Dragons
OptionProbability
3271
1953
OptionProbability
974
203
A biological creature aesthetically recognizable as a dragon will exist on earth by 2060
Sep 27, 3:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
53.17%chance
292694
OptionVotes
1252
580
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2026?
Jan 21, 3:07 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
32.17%chance
212448
OptionVotes
1452
689
OptionVotes
124
81
OptionVotes
1402
902
Will "A Song of Ice and Fire" be completed before "House of the Dragon"?
Nov 5, 6:22 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
6%chance
7506
OptionVotes
306
67
OptionProbability
94
86
65
54
54
50
Will Dragon Quest 13 feature character designs that resemble Akira Toriyama's?
Mar 8, 4:11 AMFeb 2, 1:29 PM
70.39%chance
9371
OptionVotes
337
182
Will there be another color of Super Saiyan in the Dragon Ball series by Jan 1st 2026?
Dec 3, 3:04 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
17.56%chance
12368
OptionVotes
410
75
Will a sixth edition of Dungeons & Dragons be released by the end of 2030?
Mar 24, 1:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
63.75%chance
13228
OptionVotes
258
221
Will "Dragon Agnosticism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Nov 18, 7:17 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
20%chance
16
OptionVotes
106
69