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Prediction markets for Dream

Will Tomodachi Life: Living the Dream have its on Nintendo Direct?

Mar 30, 5:05 PMMay 1, 10:59 PM

15%chance

44614

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2380

420

Will the Georgian Dream party win the election?

Oct 26, 9:50 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

97.81%chance

173092

OptionVotes

NO

YES

668

15

When will Dream Chaser go to space?

Nov 1, 3:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

102800

OptionProbability

Not by end of 2025

2025

First half of 2024

Second half of 2024

91

6

1

1

Will Luffy’s & Roger’s shared dream somehow relate to exploring space?

May 4, 7:28 PMMay 4, 9:59 PM

22.51%chance

361988

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1413

827

Will AI or other tech be usable by the public to enable lucid dreaming by 2027?

Oct 9, 12:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.55%chance

261430

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

776

Will Elon Musk realize his dream of dying on Mars?

Jul 31, 11:32 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.92%chance

241106

OptionVotes

YES

NO

353

111

When will the first episode of the Anime: "Grand Blue Dreaming Season 2" come out?

May 9, 2:22 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

3808

OptionProbability

Cancelled/Later then above!

Fall 2025

Summer 2025

Spring 2025

Winter 2025

Summer 2024

Fall 2024

29

26

21

17

5

1

1

Will "Dreams of AI alignment: The danger of suggest..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Sep 9, 8:14 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

9.25%chance

1500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1496

937

Has Dream's career peaked like SunnyV2 is predicting? (Same or less Youtube Subs a year from now?)

May 16, 7:38 PMMay 18, 3:59 AM

7.17%chance

6399

OptionVotes

YES

NO

360

28

When will Tomodachi Life: Living the Dream release?

Mar 27, 6:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3370

Janja Garnbret climbs Burden of Dreams by 23 October 2026?

Jun 2, 2:22 AMOct 23, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will the minimal description length for "manic pixie dream girl of the Internet" contain "Laria Reynolds" in it?

Apr 29, 4:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.85%chance

346

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

68

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