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Prediction markets for Economic Times
Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?
Mar 13, 3:40 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
54.07%chance
340280777
OptionVotes
5056
5043
OptionVotes
2179
459
Will consumer AI platforms (ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, etc) face an ‘economic blackout’ protest against the US govt?
Jan 25, 8:48 PMJul 30, 10:59 PM
9.29%chance
7639546
OptionVotes
31241
3201
OptionVotes
14050
6693
Will the S&P 500 close above 7883.34 on December 31, 2026?
Jan 6, 2:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18.32%chance
2818339
OptionVotes
2112
474
During Trump's presidency, which types of unemployment will reach new highs?
Nov 9, 7:59 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM
1111688
OptionProbability
27
24
24
24
15
By which years will AGI be released (Hendrycks definition >95%)?
Oct 16, 2:41 PMJan 2, 3:04 AM
1110587
OptionProbability
70
52
39
30
19
7
OptionVotes
2907
34
Will an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033?
Mar 14, 11:02 PMMar 14, 11:59 PM
70.03%chance
722785
OptionVotes
1725
976
OptionVotes
1724
580
By What time will Socialism become the predominant economic system?
Dec 16, 7:44 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
281059
OptionProbability
75
65
57
51
41
23
Will I still think ergocidity economics is crankery at the end of March 2027?
Mar 17, 6:52 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM
94%chance
1329
OptionVotes
5329
4976