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Prediction markets for ECS
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
27.86%chance
653719860
OptionVotes
5791
4783
Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]
Jul 9, 4:05 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
3580149
OptionProbability
50
21
18
8
1
1
1
1
Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?
Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
65.82%chance
10045304
OptionVotes
1287
787
OptionProbability
2565
863
OptionVotes
8174
1558
Will the sky be clear in Sydney during the 2028 total solar eclipse?
Mar 8, 3:07 AMJul 22, 11:59 PM
58.13%chance
187433
OptionVotes
11782
8487
Will the world economy grow by more than 10000% in a single year before the year X?
Jul 4, 7:27 AMJan 17, 4:59 PM
206753
OptionProbability
20
16
13
9
6
1
2 of the top 5 AI's are open source at eoy 2027? (ECI)
Jul 24, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
27.67%chance
112450
OptionVotes
3168
2299
Accountability: European Commission - Will the EC deliver on these goals and promises?
Jul 19, 1:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
51176
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
83
57
54
53
50
45
41
41
By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?
Mar 31, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
27.42%chance
12860
OptionVotes
10622
9739
OptionProbability
47
17
17
13
6
OptionProbability
7
6
5
5
5
4
4
4
3
3
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