EFF News

UK Online Safety Act Cuts Porn Site Traffic as Supreme Court Upholds Mississippi Age Verification Law Amid EFF Criticism

4 months ago

FTC Chair Ferguson Warns Big Tech Against Foreign Laws Like EU Digital Service Act That Undermine U.S. Privacy and Free Speech

3 months ago

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.32%chance

480364022

OptionVotes

YES

2874

2054

Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]

Aug 2, 10:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

24.4%chance

47990058

OptionVotes

YES

7184

5003

5. Multiple serious efforts to put AI data centers in space will take shape.

Dec 27, 8:16 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

70.95%chance

11853517

OptionVotes

YES

1563

640

Will there be 10 new effective altruist billionaires in the next 5 years?

Jul 1, 12:42 AMJul 1, 4:59 AM

19.75%chance

24148656

OptionVotes

YES

2318

1569

Will a GPT-4 level efficient HRM based language model be released before Feb 2026? [Details in description]

Jul 31, 3:58 PMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

5%chance

8620327

OptionVotes

YES

2834

793

Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?

Oct 21, 3:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.49%chance

13211307

OptionVotes

YES

2132

1976

Effective Altruist organization commits serious human rights abuses "for the greater good" before 2035

Nov 30, 10:02 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

20.78%chance

559461

OptionVotes

YES

3422

3106

Will the Effective Altruism movement continue to exist in 2035?

Jan 14, 12:24 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

74.68%chance

833368

OptionVotes

YES

1812

1530

Peer-reviewed paper in 2026 shows mycelial compounds effective against respiratory diseases?

Nov 12, 4:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.82%chance

102493

OptionVotes

YES

1388

721

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

Jul 2, 9:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.79%chance

141630

OptionVotes

YES

1809

1260

Will LOY-001 establish efficacy?

Dec 12, 5:18 PMDec 20, 7:59 AM

17.18%chance

24865

OptionVotes

YES

1906

1905

Effective Altruism stock [permanent]

Mar 16, 6:55 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

68.93%chance

21343

OptionVotes

YES

1002

972

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Policy
Politics
FTC Chair Ferguson Warns Big Tech Against Foreign Laws Like EU Digital Service Act That Undermine U.S. Privacy and Free Speech
Authors
8
3 months ago
Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
Britain
US Judiciary
Policy
UK Online Safety Act Cuts Porn Site Traffic as Supreme Court Upholds Mississippi Age Verification Law Amid EFF Criticism
Authors
6
4 months ago

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Prediction markets for EFF

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Prediction markets for EFF

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]

5. Multiple serious efforts to put AI data centers in space will take shape.

Will there be 10 new effective altruist billionaires in the next 5 years?

Will a GPT-4 level efficient HRM based language model be released before Feb 2026? [Details in description]

Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?

Effective Altruist organization commits serious human rights abuses "for the greater good" before 2035

Will the Effective Altruism movement continue to exist in 2035?

Peer-reviewed paper in 2026 shows mycelial compounds effective against respiratory diseases?

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

Will LOY-001 establish efficacy?

Effective Altruism stock [permanent]

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