EFF News

UK Online Safety Act Cuts Porn Site Traffic as Supreme Court Upholds Mississippi Age Verification Law Amid EFF Criticism

1 year ago

FTC Chair Ferguson Warns Big Tech Against Foreign Laws Like EU Digital Service Act That Undermine U.S. Privacy and Free Speech

1 year ago

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

27.86%chance

653719860

OptionVotes

YES

5791

4783

Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]

Aug 2, 10:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

22.32%chance

48290606

OptionVotes

YES

7778

4822

Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?

Oct 21, 3:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69.08%chance

13411475

OptionVotes

YES

2366

1862

Effective Altruist organization commits serious human rights abuses "for the greater good" before 2035

Nov 30, 10:02 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

20.78%chance

559461

OptionVotes

YES

3422

3106

Will trump say or write "effective altruism"?

Sep 17, 4:52 AMApr 30, 4:51 AM

36.96%chance

311767

OptionVotes

YES

1838

1246

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

Jul 2, 9:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.79%chance

141630

OptionVotes

YES

1809

1260

If the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact comes into effect before 2029, will the Supreme Court block it?

Nov 5, 7:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.07%chance

121035

OptionVotes

YES

10039

9943

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact go into effect by the 2032 election?

Oct 30, 12:02 AMNov 2, 6:59 AM

52%chance

191015

OptionVotes

YES

2820

1923

Will the Jones Act be in effect for more than half of 2027?

Jun 5, 5:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.47%chance

8726

OptionVotes

YES

1238

808

Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2036?

Jul 14, 11:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.59%chance

7575

OptionVotes

YES

6240

5801

Effective Altruism stock [permanent]

Mar 16, 6:55 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

71.43%chance

23428

OptionVotes

YES

1056

967

If it passes, when will Pittsburgh's paid parental leave ordinance take effect?

Oct 23, 3:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Before Nov 2027

Before Jan 2028

Before Apr 2028

Before Jul 2028

Before Jan 2029

Before Jan 2030

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Policy
Politics
FTC Chair Ferguson Warns Big Tech Against Foreign Laws Like EU Digital Service Act That Undermine U.S. Privacy and Free Speech
Authors
8
1 year ago
Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
Britain
US Judiciary
Policy
UK Online Safety Act Cuts Porn Site Traffic as Supreme Court Upholds Mississippi Age Verification Law Amid EFF Criticism
Authors
6
1 year ago

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Prediction markets for EFF

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Prediction markets for EFF

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]

Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?

Effective Altruist organization commits serious human rights abuses "for the greater good" before 2035

Will trump say or write "effective altruism"?

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

If the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact comes into effect before 2029, will the Supreme Court block it?

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact go into effect by the 2032 election?

Will the Jones Act be in effect for more than half of 2027?

Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2036?

Effective Altruism stock [permanent]

If it passes, when will Pittsburgh's paid parental leave ordinance take effect?

Latest stories

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