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Elliott News

    Prediction markets for Elliott

    Will J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029?

    Mar 5, 4:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    51.66%chance
    249456

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    103

    97

    Will there be US Constitutional reform by 2027?

    Jan 14, 3:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    8.4%chance
    312870

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1530

    931

    Exactly what day will Claud Fable 5 be available to Americans.

    Jun 19, 9:28 PMJul 2, 2:00 AM
    101751

    OptionProbability

    July 1st or later

    June 23rd

    June 24th

    June 25th

    June 26th

    June 29th

    June 30th

    June 20th

    June 21st

    June 22nd

    June 27th

    June 28th

    83

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    Will either a Nobel Prize in Economics or a Turing Award be awarded to Satoshi Nakamoto before 2050?

    Oct 6, 6:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    5.84%chance
    101324

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    547

    152

    Who will be the next big Sam on Manifold?

    Nov 18, 6:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    171248

    OptionProbability

    No one by close date

    Other

    Samuel Alito

    Sam Reich

    Sam Jacobs (TIME)

    Sam Harris

    Sam Trabucco

    Samuel L. Jackson

    Sam Elliott

    Sam Bowman (NYU/Anthropic)

    Samuel Lim (Binance)

    73

    10

    7

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    Who will win Connecticut’s 2026 Gubernatorial election?

    Jun 5, 3:07 PMNov 4, 4:59 AM
    61170

    OptionProbability

    Ned Lamont

    Josh Elliott

    Other

    Luke Bronin

    Susan Bysiewicz

    Erin Stewart

    Heather Somers

    Bob Stefanowski

    74

    5

    5

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    Which books will I rate 5 stars, if I read them?

    Jan 1, 6:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    231124

    OptionProbability

    The Way of Kings by Brandon Sanderson

    Merchant Magician by John Champaign

    The Road by Cormac McCarthy

    (The books you will rate 5 stars)

    The Player of Games by Iain M. Banks

    Crime and Punishment

    Catch-22 by Joseph Heller

    Lord of Light by Roger Zelazny

    Hyperion by Dan Simmons

    Exhalation by Ted Chiang

    War with the Newts

    Small Things Like These by Claire Keegan

    Great Gatsby

    If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies by Nate Soares and Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Existential Kink by Carolyn Elliott

    99

    85

    75

    66

    65

    64

    64

    61

    61

    57

    50

    50

    43

    41

    19

    Will Elliott Lehrer and Caroline Ellison go on a date in June?

    Jun 12, 11:11 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
    25.52%chance
    13831

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1708

    585

    Who will win the 2026 election for California's 40th State Senate district

    Jul 2, 3:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    4600

    OptionProbability

    Mara Elliott

    Kristie Bruce-Lane

    Ed Musgrove

    Marni von Wilpert

    Other

    58

    30

    8

    3

    1

    🏅2026 NASCAR Head-to-Head (H2H) Driver Markets (LIVE)

    Jan 22, 12:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    2364

    OptionProbability

    02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Joey Logano OUT FINISH Ryan Blaney?

    02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Tyler Reddick OUT FINISH Chase Elliott?

    02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Chris Buescher OUT FINISH Ty Gibbs?

    02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will William Byron OUT FINISH Ryan Blaney?

    02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Chase Elliott OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?

    02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Tyler Reddick OUT FINISH Joey Logano?

    03/08 (Phoenix) - Will Kyle Larson OUT FINISH Chase Elliott?

    03/01 (Austin) - Will Shane van Gisbergen OUT FINISH A. J. Allmendinger?

    02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Ryan Preece OUT FINISH Christopher Bell?

    02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Ross Chastain OUT FINISH Austin Cindric?

    02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Austin Cindric?

    02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Noah Gragson OUT FINISH Austin Dillon?

    02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' (Kyle Busch) OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside' (Chase Briscoe)?

    02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' (Joey Logano) OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside' (Chase Elliott)?

    02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' (Austin Dillon) OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside' (Kyle Larson)?

    02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 5 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 5 Outside' ?

    02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 6 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 6 Outside' ?

    02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 9 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 9 Outside' ?

    02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' (Austin Dillon) OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside' (Corey LaJoie)?

    02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 5 Inside' (John Hunter Nemechek) OUT FINISH 'Row 5 Outside' (Brad Keselowski)?

    02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 6 Inside' (Ryan Blaney) OUT FINISH 'Row 6 Outside' (William Byron)?

    02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 7 Inside' (Cole Custer) OUT FINISH 'Row 7 Outside' (Cody Ware)?

    02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 9 Inside' (AJ Allmendinger) OUT FINISH 'Row 9 Outside' (Ross Chastain)?

    02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 10 Inside' (Shane van Gisbergen) OUT FINISH 'Row 10 Outside' (Daniel Suarez)?

    02/22 (Autotrader 400) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?

    03/22 (Darlington) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?

    02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Tyler ReddickOUT FINISH Kyle Larson?

    02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Tyler ReddickOUT FINISH Joey Logano?

    02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Tyler ReddickOUT FINISH Ricky Stenhouse?

    02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Chase ElliottOUT FINISH Ricky Stenhouse?

    02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Chase Elliott OUT FINISH Brad Keselowski??

    03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside'?

    03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside'?

    03/29 (Cook Out 400) - Will Denny Hamlin OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?

    03/29 (Cook Out 400) - Will DWilliam Byron OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?

    05/31 (Nashville) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?

    06/14 (Pocono) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?

    11/08 (Miami) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?

    06/21 (Coronado) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?

    06/21 (Coronado) - Will Shane van Gisbergen OUT FINISH Carson Hocevar?

    02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Chase Elliott OUT FINISH Chris Buescher?

    02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Tyler Reddick OUT FINISH Ty Gibbs?

    02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Kyle Larson OUT FINISH William Byron?

    02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Chase Elliott OUT FINISH Austin Dillon?

    03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will Kyle Larson OUT FINISH Chase Elliott?

    03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will Joey Logano OUT FINISH Tyler Reddick?

    02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Kyle Larson OUT FINISH Joey Logano?

    03/08 (Phoenix) - Will Joey Logano OUT FINISH William Byron?

    02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Bubba Wallace OUT FINISH Ross Chastain?

    02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Austin Cindric OUT FINISH Ross Chastain?

    02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Kyle Larson OUT FINISH William Byron?

    02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Ty Gibbs OUT FINISH Chase Briscoe?

    02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Christopher Bell OUT FINISH Denny Hamlin?

    02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' (Ryan Blaney) OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside' (Carson Hocevar)?

    02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 7 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 7 Outside' ?

    02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 8 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 8 Outside' ?

    02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 10 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 10 Outside' ?

    02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' (Kyle Busch) OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside' (Ryan Preece)?

    02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' (Corey Heim) OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside' (Alex Bowman)?

    02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' (Chris Buescher) OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside' (Joey Logano)?

    02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 8 Inside' (Jimmie Johnson) OUT FINISH 'Row 8 Outside' (Bubba Watson)?

    02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' (Chase Briscoe) OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside' (Denny Hamlin)?

    02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' (Kyle Larson) OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside' (Chase Elliott)?

    02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 11 Inside' (Chandler Smith) OUT FINISH 'Row 11 Outside' (Casey Mears)?

    02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' (Ty Gibbs) OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside' (Christopher Bell)?

    02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' (Justin Allgaier) OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside' (Austin Cindric)?

    02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 5 Inside' (Zane Smith) OUT FINISH 'Row 5 Outside' (Michael McDowell)?

    02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 6 Inside' (Connor Zilisch) OUT FINISH 'Row 6 Outside' (Erik Jones)?

    02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 7 Inside' (Josh Berry) OUT FINISH 'Row 7 Outside' (Carson Hocevar)?

    11/08 (Miami) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?

    03/01 (COTA) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?

    03/08 (Phoenix) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?

    03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?

    03/29 (Cook Out 400) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?

    03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?

    03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside'?

    03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will Blaney OUT FINISH Reddick?

    100

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    Who Walmart buys eBay on 2029 only

    Feb 10, 2:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    44.84%chance
    230

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    111

    90

    Will Elliott Glazer win one of the Millennium Prize Problems?

    Sep 4, 12:21 AM
    20

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