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Prediction markets for Embracer
If Donald Trump is elected, which of his campaign promises will be achieved?
Jan 24, 11:20 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
898008
OptionProbability
100
88
82
74
71
71
66
63
63
63
63
58
57
56
53
50
47
45
45
44
44
42
42
42
42
40
40
40
40
39
37
36
36
35
34
31
31
31
30
28
27
27
26
26
24
23
19
18
18
17
16
16
13
11
7
0
OptionProbability
100
72
71
70
55
55
51
50
50
50
45
45
41
41
41
40
38
37
34
34
34
33
30
29
28
27
27
27
26
25
24
24
24
23
18
12
11
10
10
9
7
5
3
Which gaming companies will layoff 20%+ of their workforce by end 2026?
Feb 28, 9:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
303821
OptionProbability
100
81
75
73
72
72
69
55
54
53
51
50
50
50
50
41
40
39
38
37
35
35
31
30
30
27
25
24
24
24
23
22
22
19
18
16
9
7
7
5
OptionProbability
588
418
Will any country ban cash/ physical currency by 2030?
Mar 11, 9:21 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
14.06%chance
231572
OptionVotes
1329
901
Will Donald Trump call another democratically elected leader of a country a dictator before the end of his current term?
Feb 28, 11:59 AMJan 31, 9:59 PM
83.31%chance
331209
OptionVotes
223
45
OptionProbability
72
70
66
66
66
66
50
50
45
41
41
37
34
34
34
34
24
24
24
24
24
21
17
17
Will Asmongold Shave His Head Before January 1st 2027?
Feb 26, 9:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.16%chance
9342
OptionVotes
205
49
OptionVotes
1006
891
OptionProbability
352
347
Scott Alexander receives another critical newspaper profile by end of 2026?
Aug 28, 11:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35.08%chance
7136
OptionVotes
136
74
Will a TikTok-native artist exhibit at Documenta 16 (2027)?
Feb 17, 12:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
70%chance
377
OptionVotes
153
65
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