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Prediction markets for Embracer
If Donald Trump is elected, which of his campaign promises will be achieved?
Jan 24, 11:20 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
968242
OptionProbability
100
82
74
71
71
66
63
63
63
63
58
57
56
51
50
45
45
44
44
42
42
42
40
40
40
40
39
39
37
36
36
36
35
34
33
31
31
31
30
27
27
26
26
25
24
23
19
18
18
17
16
16
13
11
7
0
Which gaming companies will layoff 20%+ of their workforce by end 2026?
Feb 28, 9:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
368081
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
81
75
72
72
63
61
55
53
50
50
50
49
46
41
36
32
31
28
25
25
25
22
22
22
21
21
19
15
14
13
8
7
6
5
OptionProbability
100
100
87
70
59
51
50
46
45
45
41
41
41
38
37
35
34
34
34
30
28
27
27
26
25
24
24
24
23
22
22
21
20
19
12
11
10
10
10
9
5
1
1
OptionProbability
588
418
Will any country ban cash/ physical currency by 2030?
Mar 11, 9:21 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
14.06%chance
231572
OptionVotes
1329
901
Will Donald Trump call another democratically elected leader of a country a dictator before the end of his current term?
Feb 28, 11:59 AMJan 31, 9:59 PM
76.93%chance
341219
OptionVotes
183
55
OptionProbability
75
72
66
66
66
50
50
45
41
41
37
34
34
34
34
26
24
24
24
24
17
17
17
11
Will Asmongold Shave His Head Before January 1st 2027?
Feb 26, 9:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6.02%chance
10524
OptionVotes
395
25
Scott Alexander receives another critical newspaper profile by end of 2026?
Aug 28, 11:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15%chance
14431
OptionVotes
238
42
OptionVotes
1006
891
OptionProbability
352
347
Will a TikTok-native artist exhibit at Documenta 16 (2027)?
Feb 17, 12:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
70%chance
377
OptionVotes
153
65
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