Enhance News
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Prediction markets for Enhance
OptionProbability
99
85
79
78
67
65
60
59
58
58
48
41
38
36
35
34
32
24
23
22
20
19
19
18
14
13
11
3
1
1
Will this idea for enhancing intelligence in adult humans through genetic engineering work?
Dec 13, 9:05 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
24.2%chance
323882
OptionVotes
1015
868
Will there be an attempt of a radical cognitive enhancement program with clinical trials on humans by January 1, 2030?
May 17, 11:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
36.8%chance
241865
OptionVotes
4131
3056
Will at least one >80% subsaharan ancestry country score above Ukraine on PISA for at least one year before 2100 without mass genetic enhancement?
Jan 17, 10:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
30.5%chance
241211
OptionVotes
1938
1060
OptionVotes
1285
893
Will enhanced prosthetics be developed that lead to people voluntarily 'upgrading' their natural limbs by EOY 2040?🦾🦿
Jan 16, 11:59 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
36.34%chance
25641
OptionVotes
997
986
Will enhanced prosthetics be developed that lead to people voluntarily 'upgrading' their natural limbs by EOY 2050?🦾🦿
Jan 22, 6:59 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
68.01%chance
18451
OptionVotes
1153
909
Will the first human to achieve a FIDE chess rating of 3000 be genetically enhanced?
Jun 17, 7:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
56.64%chance
12291
OptionVotes
252
170
OptionProbability
60
40
Will I believe that Klotho gene therapy in adults is a nontrivial cognitive enhancer (order of >5 IQ pts) EOY 2025?
Nov 9, 5:50 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM
38.87%chance
3256
OptionVotes
1254
797
OptionVotes
1006
891
Will AI-enhanced video-editing software automatically slow-down frame rate of fast-scrolled videos by EOY 2027?
Feb 28, 7:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
54.75%chance
110
OptionVotes
130
111