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Top stories

ECB Survey Finds Euro-Zone Consumers Still Expect 2.6% Inflation Next Year

ECB Survey Finds Euro-Zone Consumers Still Expect 2.6% Inflation Next Year

Authors

12

11 months ago

French GDP Holds at 0.3% as Inflation Slips to 0.8%

French GDP Holds at 0.3% as Inflation Slips to 0.8%

Authors

10

11 months ago

German Inflation Tops Forecast at 2.2%, Retail Sales Slide

German Inflation Tops Forecast at 2.2%, Retail Sales Slide

Authors

10

11 months ago

France’s Lombard Sticks to 5.4% Deficit Goal, Downplays IMF Risk

Authors

16

1 year ago

ECB Minutes Expose Inflation Rift as Governing Council Holds Rates

Authors

10

11 months ago

Eurozone M3 Money Supply Rises 3.4%, Missing Forecast

Authors

5

1 year ago

French 30-Year Yield at 14-Year High as Bund Spread Reaches 80 bps

Authors

14

1 year ago

ECB's Lagarde Hails 4% Job Gain, Plays Down Tariff Risk

Authors

12

1 year ago

Prediction markets for European Central Bank

Which central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?

Mar 23, 7:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

193713

OptionProbability

European Central Bank

Bank of Japan

Bank of Korea

Reserve Bank of New Zealand

US Federal Reserve

Bank of England

Reserve Bank of India

Bank of Canada

People’s Bank of China

Swiss National Bank

100

100

100

100

69

49

41

37

31

30

Will the European Union introduce a digital euro as a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the end of 2026?

Apr 5, 6:48 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

13.28%chance

281312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1516

894

Euro: Will there be a €1000 banknote before 2030?

Jan 15, 8:47 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.68%chance

19753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1691

892

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

76.29%chance

10325

OptionVotes

NO

YES

154

83

Will the ECB (deposit facility) interest rate be negative before 2033?

Apr 14, 1:10 AMDec 3, 12:00 PM

15.58%chance

11281

OptionVotes

YES

NO

354

102

Will the ECB adjust the 2% long run inflation target by 2028?

Jul 10, 8:38 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

15.04%chance

7151

OptionVotes

YES

NO

297

101

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