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Top stories

ECB Survey Finds Euro-Zone Consumers Still Expect 2.6% Inflation Next Year

ECB Survey Finds Euro-Zone Consumers Still Expect 2.6% Inflation Next Year

Authors

12

5 months ago

French GDP Holds at 0.3% as Inflation Slips to 0.8%

French GDP Holds at 0.3% as Inflation Slips to 0.8%

Authors

10

5 months ago

German Inflation Tops Forecast at 2.2%, Retail Sales Slide

German Inflation Tops Forecast at 2.2%, Retail Sales Slide

Authors

10

5 months ago

France’s Lombard Sticks to 5.4% Deficit Goal, Downplays IMF Risk

Authors

16

5 months ago

ECB Minutes Expose Inflation Rift as Governing Council Holds Rates

Authors

10

5 months ago

Eurozone M3 Money Supply Rises 3.4%, Missing Forecast

Authors

5

5 months ago

French 30-Year Yield at 14-Year High as Bund Spread Reaches 80 bps

Authors

14

5 months ago

ECB's Lagarde Hails 4% Job Gain, Plays Down Tariff Risk

Authors

12

5 months ago

Prediction markets for European Central Bank

ECB Interest Rates: February 2026

Dec 30, 12:45 AMFeb 5, 9:59 PM

1815

OptionProbability

No change (0 basis points)

Decrease by 25 basis points

Decrease by 50+ basis points

Increase by 25 basis points

Increase by 50+ basis points

99

0

0

0

0

Euro: Will there be a €1000 banknote before 2030?

Jan 15, 8:47 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.68%chance

19753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1691

892

Will the European Union introduce a digital euro as a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the end of 2026?

Apr 5, 6:48 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

15.42%chance

18568

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1320

927

Will the ECB (deposit facility) interest rate be negative before 2033?

Apr 14, 1:10 AMDec 3, 12:00 PM

15.58%chance

11281

OptionVotes

YES

NO

354

102

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

63.06%chance

8279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

103

Will the Japanese yen trade below 160 JPY/USD at the end of March 2026?

Jan 21, 8:29 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

76.14%chance

4195

OptionVotes

NO

YES

179

56

Will the ECB adjust the 2% long run inflation target by 2028?

Jul 10, 8:38 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

15.04%chance

7151

OptionVotes

YES

NO

297

101

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